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Acacia Research Corporation (Acacia Tech) (ACTG) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$4.44 +0.91% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.44

Acacia Research Corporation (Acacia Tech) (ACTG) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $433.3M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.44 (-0.03%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 26.4% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ACTG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.4%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (58/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ACTG SCORES 58/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 1.95 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$4.32-2.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$4.23-0.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$4.21+5.5% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$4.44+0% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (50) → D+ (58)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ACTG Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 58/100 (D+) score, ACTG faces multiple-compression risk if 17.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 27.1% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($4.39) or 200D SMA ($4.53) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($4.44) toward Bear Floor ($3.46).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ACTG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ACTG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 58%NO 42%Trade / Inspect Odds →

SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

ACTG Smart-Money Thermometer: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →

▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (ACTG)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on ACTG. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ACTG)

✓Walkthrough of ACTG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

ACTG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -12.60%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $4.42H $4.44L $4.31C $4.44VOL 116.9K

RES: $4.72SUP: $4.10SMA50: $4.39SMA200: $4.53

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ACTG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ACTG Butterfly Map → + Track ACTG →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

10.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +133.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ACTG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ACTG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ACTG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ACTG)

Industrials Rank #201 of 485 ⚔️ APPS vs ACTG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (ACTG vs. APPS, JYNT, AMOD, VHC)

Industry: Multi-Sector Companies (11 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Acacia Research Corporation (Acacia Tech) (ACTG) ranks #201 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #307 by equity capitalization ($433.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ACTG leads on earnings valuation at 17.7x trailing P/E, while APPS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 5.3% ROIC and 56.9% gross margin. ACTG currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 58/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ACTG ACTIVE Acacia Research Corporation (Acacia Tech)	D+	58/100	17.7x	29.6%	2.1%	+0.91%	$433.3M	Benchmark Subject
APPS Digital Turbine Inc.	D	51/100	—	56.9%	5.3%	+6.66%	$1.29B	/apps-vs-actg →
JYNT The Joint Corp.	D	51/100	35.8x	—	-13.9%	+1.38%	$104.1M	/jynt-vs-actg →
AMOD Alpha Modus Holdings Inc. (Class A)	E	30/100	—	96.0%	-35.0%	-8.93%	$65.1M	/amod-vs-actg →
VHC VirnetX Holding Corp	E	32/100	—	—	-35.0%	-3.89%	$43.9M	/vhc-vs-actg →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000934549

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Acacia Research Corporation (Acacia Tech) (ACTG) reported GAAP revenue of $285.2M (+133.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $122.3M , and +128.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $24.5M, operating cash flow of $75.2M, and free cash flow of $75.2M (+176.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, ACTG closed FY2025 with $771.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.95, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$285.2M	$24.5M	$75.2M	$75.2M	$771.0M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$122.3M	-$34.7M	$50.1M	-$98.5M	$756.4M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$125.1M	$68.9M	-$22.5M	-$22.5M	—	—

3. ACTG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ACTG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Acacia Research Corporation (Acacia Tech) (NASDAQ: ACTG) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $4.44 (+0.91% 1D, market cap $433.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, ACTG ranks #201 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ACTG compare to APPS and JYNT in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Multi-Sector Companies), ACTG carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 17.7x, gross margin of 29.6%, and ROIC of 2.1%. By comparison, APPS (Digital Turbine Inc.) holds a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 5.3%, cap $1.29B) and JYNT (The Joint Corp.) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E 35.8x, ROIC -13.9%, cap $104.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ACTG leads on earnings multiple (17.7x) while APPS leads on capital efficiency (5.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ACTG?

Per ACTG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000934549), Acacia Research Corporation (Acacia Tech) generated $285.2M in revenue (+133.2% YoY), $24.5M in net income, and $75.2M in free cash flow against $771.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ACTG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ACTG last traded at $4.44 (+0.91% on volume of 95,874 shares), positioning the stock +1.14% above its 50-day simple moving average ($4.39) and -1.99% below its 200-day simple moving average ($4.53). Across its 52-week range of $3.24 to $5.27, ACTG sits at the 59.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.4% ($4.20 to $4.68).

ACTG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are ACTG insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies ACTG leadership and institutional positioning as: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION.

Direct Sub-Reports: ACTG RQD Cockpit ACTG 12M Forecast ACTG Earnings & Move ACTG Dividends & DRIP ACTG Insiders & 13F ACTG Whale Options ACTG Profit Sankey ACTG News & Why