MARKET WIRECNBC • 2h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why ACMR Stock dropped -7.03% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$49.29 -7.03% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $48.57
ACM Research Inc. (Class A) (ACMR) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 42/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID
Cap $3.43B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $48.57 (-1.46%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (42/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.2% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ACMR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (42/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ACMR SCORES 42/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+12/20 pts (29% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.50 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (24% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 21% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 27.2 (OVERSOLD (<32))
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C-$71.37-25.6% Next Q
50
Q2 (-2Q)Grade D$53.10-4.8% Next Q
47
Q3 (-1Q)Grade D$50.55-2.5% Next Q
45
CurrentGrade D-$49.29-7% Hist 90D α
42
Trajectory: C- (50) → D- (42)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ACMR Turnaround Squeeze
While ACMR currently carries a cautious 42/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($68.48) and Max Pain ($51.75) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $133.55.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ACMR• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ACMR Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why ACMR Stock dropped -7.03% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
ACM Research Inc. (Class A) (ACMR) dropped -7.03% to $49.29, trading at 21% of its 52-week range ($28.46 – $127.19). Stretched risk/reward at 37x P/E (10% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 21% of its 52-week range ($28.46 – $127.19) with RSI-14 at 27.2 (OVERSOLD (<32)).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $49.29 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 44.4% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live ACMR Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 4h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 7h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ACMR)
- ✓Walkthrough of ACMR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ACMR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -4.64%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $46.48H $49.29L $43.57C $49.29VOL 1.25M
RES: $82.94SUP: $42.84SMA50: $68.48SMA200: $68.60
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
ACMR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
28.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +15.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ACMR today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ACMR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ACMR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ACMR)
Technology Rank #514 of 714
⚔️ ACLS vs ACMR Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (ACMR vs. ACLS, LPL, VECO, PI)
Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, ACM Research Inc. (Class A) (ACMR) ranks #514 by composite RQD confidence (42/100, grade D-) and #241 by equity capitalization ($3.43B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ACLS leads on earnings valuation at 28.8x trailing P/E, while ACLS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.6% ROIC and 44.9% gross margin. ACLS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with ACMR at 42/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ACMR
ACTIVE
ACM Research Inc. (Class A) | D- | 42/100 | 36.5x | 44.4% | 9.8% | -7.03% | $3.43B | Benchmark Subject |
| ACLS Axcelis Technologies Inc. | C+ | 67/100 | 28.8x | 44.9% | 10.6% | -1.50% | $3.46B | /acls-vs-acmr → |
| LPL LG Display Co Ltd AMERICAN DEPOSITORY SHARES | D | 50/100 | — | — | — | -2.87% | $2.71B | /lpl-vs-acmr → |
| VECO Veeco Instruments Inc. | D+ | 56/100 | 73.9x | 40.0% | 3.0% | -2.37% | $2.62B | /veco-vs-acmr → |
| PI Impinj Inc. | C- | 60/100 | — | 52.5% | -0.1% | +3.44% | $5.63B | /pi-vs-acmr → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001680062In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), ACM Research Inc. (Class A) (ACMR) reported GAAP revenue of $901.3M (+15.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $782.1M , and +61.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $94.1M, operating cash flow of -$10.3M, and free cash flow of -$66.6M (-195.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, ACMR closed FY2025 with $2.87B in total assets against $178.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.50, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $901.3M | $94.1M | -$10.3M | -$66.6M | $2.87B | $178.9M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $782.1M | $103.6M | $152.4M | $70.0M | $1.86B | $105.5M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $557.7M | $77.3M | -$75.3M | -$75.3M | — | — |
3. ACMR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs ACMR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, ACM Research Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: ACMR) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $49.29 (-7.03% 1D, market cap $3.43B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, ACMR ranks #514 in composite RQD confidence.
How does ACMR compare to ACLS and LPL in the Technology sector?
Within the Technology sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), ACMR carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 36.5x, gross margin of 44.4%, and ROIC of 9.8%. By comparison, ACLS (Axcelis Technologies Inc.) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 28.8x, ROIC 10.6%, cap $3.46B) and LPL (LG Display Co Ltd AMERICAN DEPOSITORY SHARES) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.71B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ACLS leads on earnings multiple (28.8x) while ACLS leads on capital efficiency (10.6% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ACMR?
Per ACMR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001680062), ACM Research Inc. (Class A) generated $901.3M in revenue (+15.2% YoY), $94.1M in net income, and -$66.6M in free cash flow against $2.87B in total assets and $178.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is ACMR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
ACMR last traded at $49.29 (-7.03% on volume of 1,002,419 shares), positioning the stock -28.02% below its 50-day simple moving average ($68.48) and -28.15% below its 200-day simple moving average ($68.60). Across its 52-week range of $28.46 to $127.19, ACMR sits at the 21.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 27.2 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($43.13 to $55.45).
ACMR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is ACMR stock moving today?
Why ACMR Stock dropped -7.03% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 37x P/E (10% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.