Stock Ratings / Industrials / AAC / earnings

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Ares Acquisition Corporation III (Class A) (AAC) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±1.8% Move

Q: When is AAC's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Ares Acquisition Corporation III (Class A) (AAC)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Upcoming Quarter.

Q: How much is AAC stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±1.8% event move for AAC, spanning a range between $9.77 and $10.13.

$9.95 0.00% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.93

Ares Acquisition Corporation III (Class A) (AAC) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 52/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 52/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $491.7M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.93 (-0.19%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0.3% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 52/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AAC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±1.8%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (52/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY AAC SCORES 52/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 0.3% FCF Margin ($13.8M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$10.07-1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$9.97-0.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$9.95+0% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$9.95-1.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (60) → D+ (52)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AAC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While AAC currently carries a cautious 52/100 (D+) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($10.05) and Max Pain ($10.45) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $11.42.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AAC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “AAC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 52%NO 48%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Upcoming Quarter (~28 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±1.8% Swing Band

±$0.18 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

AAC Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 52/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (52/100)Model Risk Weight (48/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AAC)

✓Walkthrough of AAC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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AAC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -1.97%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-10-30O $9.95H $9.97L $9.95C $9.95VOL 2.5K

RES: $10.15SUP: $9.95SMA50: $10.05SMA200: $10.05

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AAC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 AAC Butterfly Map → + Track AAC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AAC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AAC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AAC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AAC)

Industrials Rank #276 of 485 ⚔️ UAMY vs AAC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (AAC vs. UAMY, FSTR, IMSR, ELMT)

Industry: Metal Fabrications (47 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ares Acquisition Corporation III (Class A) (AAC) ranks #276 by composite RQD confidence (52/100, grade D+) and #297 by equity capitalization ($491.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FSTR leads on earnings valuation at 50.7x trailing P/E, while FSTR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.1% ROIC and 21.1% gross margin. FSTR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 58/100 (D+) compared with AAC at 52/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
AAC ACTIVE Ares Acquisition Corporation III (Class A)	D+	52/100	—	—	—	0.00%	$491.7M	Benchmark Subject
UAMY United States Antimony Corporation	D-	35/100	—	25.2%	-6.0%	-2.17%	$473.0M	/uamy-vs-aac →
FSTR L.B. Foster Company	D+	58/100	50.7x	21.1%	10.1%	+0.47%	$382.8M	/fstr-vs-aac →
IMSR Terrestrial Energy Inc.	D-	42/100	—	—	-10.0%	+3.13%	$366.0M	/imsr-vs-aac →
ELMT The Elmet Group Co.	D	51/100	—	—	—	+1.95%	$733.5M	/elmt-vs-aac →

2. AAC Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Ares Acquisition Corporation III (Class A) (AAC) operates in Metal Fabrications (Industrials) with an equity capitalization of $491.7M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. AAC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AAC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Ares Acquisition Corporation III (Class A) (NYSE: AAC) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $9.95 (0.00% 1D, market cap $491.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, AAC ranks #276 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AAC compare to UAMY and FSTR in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Metal Fabrications), AAC carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, UAMY (United States Antimony Corporation) holds a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.0%, cap $473.0M) and FSTR (L.B. Foster Company) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 50.7x, ROIC 10.1%, cap $382.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FSTR leads on earnings multiple (50.7x) while FSTR leads on capital efficiency (10.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AAC?

For Ares Acquisition Corporation III (Class A) (AAC), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #276 in Industrials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AAC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AAC last traded at $9.95 (0.00% on volume of 9 shares), positioning the stock -1.00% below its 50-day simple moving average ($10.05) and -2.64% below its 200-day simple moving average ($10.22). Across its 52-week range of $9.95 to $10.20, AAC sits at the 0.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 27.5 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±1.8% ($9.77 to $10.13).

AAC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is AAC's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Ares Acquisition Corporation III (Class A) (AAC)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Upcoming Quarter.

How much is AAC stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±1.8% event move for AAC, spanning a range between $9.77 and $10.13.

Direct Sub-Reports: AAC RQD Cockpit AAC 12M Forecast AAC Earnings & Move AAC Dividends & DRIP AAC Insiders & 13F AAC Whale Options AAC Profit Sankey AAC News & Why