CATALYSTYahoo • 1d ago
Can Alcoa Stock Jump 50%?For questions about this article or underlying research, email help@trefis.com.
Why AA Stock slipped -0.80% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$39.89 -0.80% NYSE • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot
Alcoa Corporation Common Stock (AA) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 66/100 RQD Confidence. The underlying business is intact, so current owners don’t need to panic-sell—but mixed big-money flow or rich pricing means new buyers can afford to wait for either a pullback or a B-or-higher upgrade.
ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH
Cap $10.53B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.6% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:53% Call Buyers ($2.4M)
47% PutsMax Pain: $39.00
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why AA Stock slipped -0.80% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Alcoa Corporation Common Stock (AA) slipped -0.80% to $39.89 as options desks priced 53% call premium vs. 47% put protection around the $39 max-pain magnet. Solid 41% profit margin (16% return on capital), mixed timing at 9x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 10% of its 52-week range ($35.12 – $84.38) with RSI-14 at 37.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Whale Options Positioning: $2.4M in bullish call flow vs. $2.1M in put flow (Put/Call 0.88x, implied earnings swing ±6.8%).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C+ (Hold) backed by 44% gross margin and $567.0M annual free cash flow.
Live AA Headlines & Catalysts
RISK WATCHBenzinga • 4d ago
Shares of precious metals stocks are trading lower as markets react to President Trump's announcement of sweeping tariffs.CATALYSTYahoo • 4d ago
Is Constellium Stock a Smart Buy Before Q3 Earnings Release?CSTM's Q3 earnings outlook gets a boost from strong packaging and aerospace demand, higher shipments and cost discipline, but rising input costs pose a risk.
MARKET WIREYahoo • 6d ago
Is the Options Market Predicting a Spike in Alcoa Stock?Investors need to pay close attention to AA stock based on the movements in the options market lately.
MARKET WIRESeekingAlpha • 6d ago
Wall Street Brunch: Fed And Hyperscaler EarningsThe Fed is expected to hold rates steady Wednesday. Microsoft, Alphabet and Amazon earnings put AI spending under scrutiny. JetBlue creditors organize amid rising fuel costs.
RISK WATCHFintel • 9d ago
Argus Research Downgrades Alcoa to Hold from BuyRISK WATCHYahoo • 9d ago
Alcoa shares fall after Argus downgrade warns of market headwindsInvesting.com -- Alcoa Corp (NYSE:AA) shares slid more than 5% on Thursday after Wall Street research firm Argus downgraded the aluminum producer, citing mounting pricing pressures and expanding global supply that threat
MARKET WIREBenzinga • 9d ago
Constellium To Supply Airbus With Aluminum Alloy Extrusions And Aluminum-Lithium Airware Under Multi-Year AgreementCATALYSTYahoo • 9d ago
Tesla upgraded, AppLovin initiated: Wall Street's top analyst callsTesla upgraded, AppLovin initiated: Wall Street's top analyst calls
RISK WATCHBenzinga • 9d ago
This Qiagen Analyst Is No Longer Bullish; Here Are Top 3 Downgrades For ThursdayAnalysts downgraded Qiagen, Alcoa and Dutch Bros, cutting price targets for Qiagen to $52 and Dutch Bros to $46.
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AA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -38.56%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $39.03H $39.77L $38.60C $39.19VOL 3.57M
RES: $40.14SUP: $37.42SMA50: $44.66SMA200: $56.42
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
AA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-3.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +7.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AA today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
AA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is AA stock moving today?
Why AA Stock slipped -0.80% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid 41% profit margin (16% return on capital), mixed timing at 9x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.