Alcoa Corporation Common Stock (AA) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$39.89 -0.80% NYSE • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Alcoa Corporation Common Stock (AA) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 66/100 RQD Confidence. The underlying business is intact, so current owners don’t need to panic-sell—but mixed big-money flow or rich pricing means new buyers can afford to wait for either a pullback or a B-or-higher upgrade.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $10.53B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510066
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B+
Cash (12)Whales (10)SEC (16)Macro (16)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.6% Base Target
$89 Bull$41 Base$32 Bear
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:53% Call Buyers ($2.4M)
47% PutsMax Pain: $39.00
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How AA Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$567.0M (4.4% FCF Margin)
Revenue$12.83BGross Profit $5.65B (44%)Cost of Sales $7.19BOp Profit $1.37B (10.6%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $4.28BNet Profit$1.16B (9%)Tax/Other $208.3M

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow
FY23
Rev $10.55B
FY24
Rev $11.89B
FY25
Rev $12.83B
Fiscal YearRevenueGross MarginOp MarginNet ProfitFree Cash FlowROIC %
FY 2025$12.83B44%10.6%$1.16B$567.0M15.3%
FY 2024$11.89B44%0.6%$60.0M$42.0M0.9%
FY 2023$10.55B44%-7.3%-$651.0M-$383.8M-7.9%
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Red-Light Warning Desk: How Pros Profit When Overhyped Stocks Crack (Featuring AA)

  • ✓Live walkthrough of AA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge setups institutions use when 10-year yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes instant 24/7 email alert whenever any of your stocks flip to Red
RQD INSIDER CLUB UPGRADE$49/YEAR
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AA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -38.56%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $39.03H $39.77L $38.60C $39.19VOL 3.57M
RES: $40.14SUP: $37.42SMA50: $44.66SMA200: $56.42
$87.65$74.11$60.58$47.04$33.51RES $40.14SUP $37.42$39.192026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-3.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +7.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

AA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is Alcoa Corporation Common Stock (AA)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), AA converted $12.8B of revenue into a 44% gross margin, 10.6% operating margin, and $567.0M in free cash flow (4.4% FCF margin).