Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / ZUMZ

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Zumiez Inc. (ZUMZ) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$15.12 +6.55% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.33

Zumiez Inc. (ZUMZ) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 70/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (36% profit margin, 7% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 70/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 15% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.1% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $231.8M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.33 (+1.42%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 4.6% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 70/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 15% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.1% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B- · Rk B-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ZUMZ)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.7%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (70/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ZUMZ SCORES 70/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (20% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.55 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning13/20 pts (-7 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-7 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$14.48-3.6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$13.96+1.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B-$14.11+7.2% Next Q

Current

Grade B-$15.12+6.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (62) → B- (70)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ZUMZ Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 70/100 (B-) score, ZUMZ faces multiple-compression risk if 17.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 33.3% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($15.11) or 200D SMA ($20.37) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($15.94) toward Bear Floor ($12.40).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ZUMZ• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ZUMZ Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 30, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 70%NO 30%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM

57.330 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDWATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)

2.55>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

8 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE11% OF RANGE

L: $13$15.12H: $32

1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (36% profit margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: CRQD 13 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● BUYING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Hedge funds and options traders are leaning bullish, showing strong institutional appetite.

Factor Grade: BRQD 29 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● ALL CLEAR

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Clean SEC fine-print check with low hidden accounting risk and favorable interest-rate weather.

Factor Grade: B-RQD 28 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on ZUMZ

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

NEUTRAL (65)

6.9% ROIC with 35.8% gross margin and 18.30% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BULLISH (70)

Altman-Z 2.55 and Piotroski 8/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BULLISH (72)

29/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 14/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like ZUMZ

✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (ZUMZ Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

ZUMZ // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -38.46%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $15.23H $15.30L $14.84C $15.12VOL 232.0K

RES: $24.01SUP: $11.00SMA50: $15.11SMA200: $20.37

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ZUMZ Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ZUMZ Butterfly Map → + Track ZUMZ →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

10.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ZUMZ today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ZUMZ. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ZUMZ today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ZUMZ)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #186 of 1011 ⚔️ CURV vs ZUMZ Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ZUMZ vs. CURV, LE, DLTH, DBI)

Industry: Clothing/Shoe/Accessory Stores (25 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Zumiez Inc. (ZUMZ) ranks #186 by composite RQD confidence (70/100, grade B-) and #675 by equity capitalization ($231.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ZUMZ leads on earnings valuation at 17.3x trailing P/E, while CURV leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 74.0% ROIC and 34.8% gross margin. ZUMZ currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 70/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ZUMZ ACTIVE Zumiez Inc.	B-	70/100	17.3x	35.8%	6.9%	+6.55%	$231.8M	Benchmark Subject
CURV Torrid Holdings Inc.	D-	42/100	—	34.8%	74.0%	+4.72%	$221.4M	/curv-vs-zumz →
LE Lands' End Inc.	C+	68/100	52.6x	48.7%	7.9%	+4.03%	$289.5M	/le-vs-zumz →
DLTH Duluth Holdings Inc. (Class B)	D	50/100	—	53.4%	-5.3%	+4.02%	$167.2M	/dlth-vs-zumz →
DBI Designer Brands Inc. (Class A)	C	62/100	—	43.6%	16.4%	+7.09%	$347.6M	/dbi-vs-zumz →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-31 • CIK 0001318008

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31), Zumiez Inc. (ZUMZ) reported GAAP revenue of $929.1M (+4.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $889.2M , and +6.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $13.4M, operating cash flow of $53.5M, and free cash flow of $42.4M (+644.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, ZUMZ closed FY2025 with $644.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.55, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-01-31	$929.1M	$13.4M	$53.5M	$42.4M	$644.2M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2025-02-01	$889.2M	-$1.7M	$20.7M	$5.7M	$634.9M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2024-02-03	$875.5M	-$62.6M	$14.8M	$14.8M	—	—

3. ZUMZ Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ZUMZ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Zumiez Inc. (NASDAQ: ZUMZ) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 70/100 at a spot price of $15.12 (+6.55% 1D, market cap $231.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ZUMZ ranks #186 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ZUMZ compare to CURV and LE in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Clothing/Shoe/Accessory Stores), ZUMZ carries a Roarable B- (70/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 17.3x, gross margin of 35.8%, and ROIC of 6.9%. By comparison, CURV (Torrid Holdings Inc.) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 74.0%, cap $221.4M) and LE (Lands' End Inc.) posts a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 52.6x, ROIC 7.9%, cap $289.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ZUMZ leads on earnings multiple (17.3x) while CURV leads on capital efficiency (74.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ZUMZ?

Per ZUMZ's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0001318008), Zumiez Inc. generated $929.1M in revenue (+4.5% YoY), $13.4M in net income, and $42.4M in free cash flow against $644.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ZUMZ trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ZUMZ last traded at $15.12 (+6.55% on volume of 289,828 shares), positioning the stock +0.07% above its 50-day simple moving average ($15.11) and -25.77% below its 200-day simple moving average ($20.37). Across its 52-week range of $13.07 to $31.70, ZUMZ sits at the 11.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 57.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.7% ($13.65 to $16.59).

ZUMZ Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell ZUMZ stock right now?

Zumiez Inc. (ZUMZ) currently earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy — BUY) with 70/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (36% profit margin, 7% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

What is ZUMZ's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

ZUMZ's 12-month base price target is $15.94 (range $12.4 to $33.29), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: ZUMZ RQD Cockpit ZUMZ 12M Forecast ZUMZ Earnings & Move ZUMZ Dividends & DRIP ZUMZ Insiders & 13F ZUMZ Whale Options ZUMZ Profit Sankey ZUMZ News & Why