Verde Clean Fuels Inc. (Class A) (VGAS) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$1.01 +0.50% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.01

Verde Clean Fuels Inc. (Class A) (VGAS) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 41/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $45.0M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.01 (-0.10%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (41/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510041
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D
Cash (8)Whales (8)SEC (10)Macro (10)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.9% Base Target
$4 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE VGAS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for VGAS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (41/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY VGAS SCORES 41/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 1/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 4% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 40.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
49
Grade D$1.06-7.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
46
Grade D$0.98+2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
44
Grade D$1.00+1% Next Q
Current
41
Grade D-$1.01-7.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (49) → D- (41)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a VGAS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While VGAS currently carries a cautious 41/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.17) and Max Pain ($1.06) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.53.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $VGAS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “VGAS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
40.330 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
1 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE4% OF RANGE
L: $1$1.01H: $3
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 8 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 13 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: DRQD 20 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on VGAS

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (40)

-35.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (50)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 1/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (38)

13/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 10/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like VGAS
  • ✓Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring VGAS)

  • ✓Walkthrough of VGAS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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VGAS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -44.20%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $1.02H $1.02L $1.00C $1.01VOL 5.1K
RES: $1.23SUP: $0.92SMA50: $1.17SMA200: $1.44
$2.53$2.10$1.67$1.24$0.81RES $1.23SUP $0.92$1.012026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

VGAS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on VGAS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for VGAS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for VGAS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (VGAS)

Materials Rank #218 of 270 ⚔️ CITR vs VGAS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (VGAS vs. CITR, LNZA, ARQ, FSI)

Industry: Major Chemicals (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Verde Clean Fuels Inc. (Class A) (VGAS) ranks #218 by composite RQD confidence (41/100, grade D-) and #246 by equity capitalization ($45.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FSI leads on earnings valuation at 101.5x trailing P/E, while FSI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.5% ROIC and 32.6% gross margin. FSI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 48/100 (D) compared with VGAS at 41/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
VGAS ACTIVE
Verde Clean Fuels Inc. (Class A)
D- 41/100 — — -35.0% +0.50% $45.0M Benchmark Subject
CITR
CitroTech Inc.
E 21/100 — 22.3% -35.0% -5.97% $62.9M /citr-vs-vgas →
LNZA
LanzaTech Global Inc.
D- 41/100 — — -35.0% +7.72% $73.0M /lnza-vs-vgas →
ARQ
Arq Inc.
D- 41/100 — — -24.6% -4.32% $77.3M /arq-vs-vgas →
FSI
Flexible Solutions International Inc. (CDA)
D 48/100 101.5x 32.6% 8.5% -3.40% $79.8M /fsi-vs-vgas →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001841425

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Verde Clean Fuels Inc. (Class A) (VGAS) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$7.0M, operating cash flow of -$8.9M, and free cash flow of -$16.6M (-45.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, VGAS closed FY2025 with $60.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 -$7.0M -$8.9M -$16.6M $60.2M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 -$3.3M -$8.9M -$11.4M $23.6M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 -$2.7M -$9.1M -$9.1M — —

3. VGAS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is VGAS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Verde Clean Fuels Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: VGAS) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $1.01 (+0.50% 1D, market cap $45.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, VGAS ranks #218 in composite RQD confidence.

How does VGAS compare to CITR and LNZA in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), VGAS carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, CITR (CitroTech Inc.) holds a E grade (21/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $62.9M) and LNZA (LanzaTech Global Inc.) posts a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $73.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FSI leads on earnings multiple (101.5x) while FSI leads on capital efficiency (8.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for VGAS?

Per VGAS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001841425), Verde Clean Fuels Inc. (Class A) generated $0 in revenue, -$7.0M in net income, and -$16.6M in free cash flow against $60.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is VGAS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

VGAS last traded at $1.01 (+0.50% on volume of 10,585 shares), positioning the stock -13.68% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.17) and -29.86% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.44). Across its 52-week range of $0.92 to $3.36, VGAS sits at the 3.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.0% ($1.00 to $1.13).

VGAS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell VGAS stock right now?

Verde Clean Fuels Inc. (Class A) (VGAS) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell — SELL) with 41/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is VGAS's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

VGAS's 12-month base price target is $0.93 (range $0.73 to $3.53), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

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