Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / TK

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Teekay Corporation Ltd. (TK) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$14.90 +1.85% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.99

Teekay Corporation Ltd. (TK) earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy) with 77/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (67% profit margin, 20% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 77/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 10% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 70.3% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B+ • BUY Cap $1.29B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on TK Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Teekay Corporation Ltd. (NYSE: TK) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 77/100 at a spot price of $14.90 (+1.85% 1D, market cap $1.29B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 17/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, TK ranks #48 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TK compare to NVGS and CCEC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), TK carries a Roarable B+ (77/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 13.2x, gross margin of 66.6%, and ROIC of 19.6%. By comparison, NVGS (Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands)) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 13.4x, ROIC 12.2%, cap $1.34B) and CCEC (Capital Clean Energy Carriers Corp. Common Share) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E 7.0x, ROIC 4.9%, cap $1.19B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GSL leads on earnings multiple (3.6x) while TK leads on capital efficiency (19.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TK?

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Per TK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000911971), Teekay Corporation Ltd. generated $949.5M in revenue (-22.2% YoY), $98.1M in net income, and $111.5M in free cash flow against $2.36B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (67% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.98 (+0.57%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 11.7% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 77/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 10% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 70.3% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B+ · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+8.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (77/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY TK SCORES 77/100 (B+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+17/20 pts (22% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 86% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 57.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk13/20 pts (-7 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 7 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade A$15.56-10.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade A$13.88+7.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade A-$14.86+0.3% Next Q

Current

Grade B+$14.90+7.8% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: A (85) → B+ (77)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TK Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 77/100 (B+) score, TK faces multiple-compression risk if 13.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 64.1% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($14.16) or 200D SMA ($12.42) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($16.17) toward Bear Floor ($12.22).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TK• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “TK Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 77%NO 23%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM

57.530 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

5.20>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)

6 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE86% OF RANGE

L: $9$14.90H: $16

1. Money & Cash Health● HEALTHY

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Real cash coming in backs up reported profits (67% profit margin and healthy balance-sheet cushion).

Factor Grade: BRQD 15 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● BUYING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Hedge funds and options traders are leaning bullish, showing strong institutional appetite.

Factor Grade: B+RQD 32 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● ALL CLEAR

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Clean SEC fine-print check with low hidden accounting risk and favorable interest-rate weather.

Factor Grade: BRQD 30 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on TK

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BULLISH (75)

19.6% ROIC with 66.6% gross margin and 8.62% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 5.20 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BULLISH (82)

32/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 17/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like TK

✓Strong cash generator (67% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.
✓Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.
✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (TK Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

TK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +11.36%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-02O $14.63H $14.90L $14.63C $14.90VOL 348.2K

RES: $16.56SUP: $14.08SMA50: $14.16SMA200: $12.42

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TK Butterfly Map → + Track TK →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

4.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -22.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TK today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TK)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #48 of 1011 ⚔️ NVGS vs TK Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (TK vs. NVGS, CCEC, GNK, GSL)

Industry: Marine Transportation (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Teekay Corporation Ltd. (TK) ranks #48 by composite RQD confidence (77/100, grade B+) and #481 by equity capitalization ($1.29B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GSL leads on earnings valuation at 3.6x trailing P/E, while TK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 19.6% ROIC and 66.6% gross margin. TK currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 77/100 (B+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
TK ACTIVE Teekay Corporation Ltd.	B+	77/100	13.2x	66.6%	19.6%	+1.85%	$1.29B	Benchmark Subject
NVGS Navigator Holdings Ltd. (Marshall Islands)	C-	60/100	13.4x	—	12.2%	+0.93%	$1.34B	/nvgs-vs-tk →
CCEC Capital Clean Energy Carriers Corp. Common Share	D	44/100	7.0x	—	4.9%	-3.28%	$1.19B	/ccec-vs-tk →
GNK Genco Shipping & Trading Limited New (Marshall Islands)	D+	55/100	—	—	0.6%	+4.02%	$1.16B	/gnk-vs-tk →
GSL Global Ship Lease Inc (Class A)	C	65/100	3.6x	—	16.6%	+0.24%	$1.52B	/gsl-vs-tk →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000911971

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Teekay Corporation Ltd. (TK) reported GAAP revenue of $949.5M (-22.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.22B , and -35.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $98.1M, operating cash flow of $301.8M, and free cash flow of $111.5M (-71.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, TK closed FY2025 with $2.36B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.20, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$949.5M	$98.1M	$301.8M	$111.5M	$2.36B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.22B	$133.8M	$467.2M	$396.7M	$2.15B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.46B	$150.6M	$629.8M	$629.8M	—	—

3. TK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does TK compare to NVGS and CCEC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TK?

Where is TK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TK last traded at $14.90 (+1.85% on volume of 348,243 shares), positioning the stock +5.23% above its 50-day simple moving average ($14.16) and +19.97% above its 200-day simple moving average ($12.42). Across its 52-week range of $8.67 to $15.90, TK sits at the 86.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 57.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.0% ($13.86 to $15.94).

TK Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell TK stock right now?

Teekay Corporation Ltd. (TK) currently earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy — BUY) with 77/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (67% profit margin, 20% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

What is TK's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

TK's 12-month base price target is $16.17 (range $12.22 to $19.08), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: TK RQD Cockpit TK 12M Forecast TK Earnings & Move TK Dividends & DRIP TK Insiders & 13F TK Whale Options TK Profit Sankey TK News & Why