Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / TEN

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Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd (TEN) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$54.51 +1.34% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $54.54

Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd (TEN) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 62/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 62/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.64B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $54.54 (+0.05%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 37.3% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 62/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TEN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.9%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (62/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY TEN SCORES 62/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+14/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 94% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 57.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$51.40-0.4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$51.18+4.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$53.48+1.9% Next Q

Current

Grade C$54.51+0.7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (54) → C (62)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TEN Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 62/100 (C) score, TEN faces multiple-compression risk if 10.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($48.72) or 200D SMA ($39.87) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($55.49) toward Bear Floor ($43.28).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TEN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “TEN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 62%NO 38%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM

57.830 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)

6 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE94% OF RANGE

L: $22$54.51H: $57

1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: CRQD 13 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: CRQD 25 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 24 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on TEN

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

NEUTRAL (65)

6.6% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 18.12% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BEARISH (50)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

NEUTRAL (65)

25/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 14/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like TEN

✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (TEN Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

TEN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +34.00%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $54.05H $54.89L $53.17C $54.51VOL 249.3K

RES: $60.29SUP: $41.98SMA50: $48.72SMA200: $39.87

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TEN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TEN Butterfly Map → + Track TEN →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-0.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -0.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TEN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TEN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TEN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TEN)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #358 of 1011 ⚔️ NAT vs TEN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (TEN vs. NAT, CMRE, FLNG, SFL)

Industry: Marine Transportation (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd (TEN) ranks #358 by composite RQD confidence (62/100, grade C) and #443 by equity capitalization ($1.64B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CMRE leads on earnings valuation at 4.8x trailing P/E, while CMRE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.8% ROIC and — gross margin. TEN currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 62/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
TEN ACTIVE Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd	C	62/100	10.2x	—	6.6%	+1.34%	$1.64B	Benchmark Subject
NAT Nordic American Tankers Limited	D+	56/100	139.9x	62.3%	4.6%	+2.01%	$1.72B	/nat-vs-ten →
CMRE Costamare Inc. $0.0001 par value	D+	56/100	4.8x	—	12.8%	-2.44%	$1.74B	/cmre-vs-ten →
FLNG FLEX LNG Ltd.	D	49/100	20.7x	—	6.9%	+1.34%	$1.55B	/flng-vs-ten →
SFL SFL Corporation Ltd	D	47/100	—	—	3.9%	+3.05%	$1.75B	/sfl-vs-ten →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001166663

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd (TEN) reported GAAP revenue of $798.7M (-0.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $804.1M , and -10.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $160.9M, operating cash flow of $297.6M, and free cash flow of $297.6M (-3.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, TEN closed FY2025 with $3.95B in total assets against $1.49B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$798.7M	$160.9M	$297.6M	$297.6M	$3.95B	$1.49B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$804.1M	$176.2M	$307.7M	$307.7M	$3.71B	$1.35B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$889.6M	$300.2M	$395.3M	$395.3M	—	—

3. TEN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TEN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd (NYSE: TEN) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 62/100 at a spot price of $54.51 (+1.34% 1D, market cap $1.64B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, TEN ranks #358 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TEN compare to NAT and CMRE in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), TEN carries a Roarable C (62/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 10.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 6.6%. By comparison, NAT (Nordic American Tankers Limited) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 139.9x, ROIC 4.6%, cap $1.72B) and CMRE (Costamare Inc. $0.0001 par value) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 4.8x, ROIC 12.8%, cap $1.74B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CMRE leads on earnings multiple (4.8x) while CMRE leads on capital efficiency (12.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TEN?

Per TEN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001166663), Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd generated $798.7M in revenue (-0.7% YoY), $160.9M in net income, and $297.6M in free cash flow against $3.95B in total assets and $1.49B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TEN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TEN last traded at $54.51 (+1.34% on volume of 270,137 shares), positioning the stock +11.88% above its 50-day simple moving average ($48.72) and +36.72% above its 200-day simple moving average ($39.87). Across its 52-week range of $21.65 to $56.73, TEN sits at the 93.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 57.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.9% ($49.66 to $59.36).

TEN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell TEN stock right now?

Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd (TEN) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C (Hold — HOLD) with 62/100 RQD Confidence. Solid steady margins (7% return on capital), mixed timing at 10x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is TEN's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

TEN's 12-month base price target is $55.49 (range $43.28 to $65.48), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: TEN RQD Cockpit TEN 12M Forecast TEN Earnings & Move TEN Dividends & DRIP TEN Insiders & 13F TEN Whale Options TEN Profit Sankey TEN News & Why