Strategic Education Inc. (STRA) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$77.81 +0.34% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $78.04

Strategic Education Inc. (STRA) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 72/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 9% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $1.73B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $78.04 (+0.30%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 12.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 72/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.7% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
025507510072
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B- · Rk B
Cash (15)Whales (11)SEC (14)Macro (16)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.3% Base Target
$98 Bull$83 Base$64 Bear
📬 FREE STRA RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for STRA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (72/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY STRA SCORES 72/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (22% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 40% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 29 (OVERSOLD (<32))

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-9 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
80
Grade A-$82.39-1.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
77
Grade B+$81.33+0.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
75
Grade B+$81.74-4.8% Next Q
Current
72
Grade B$77.81+7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: A- (80) → B (72)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the STRA Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 72/100 (B) score, STRA faces multiple-compression risk if 13.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($80.79) or 200D SMA ($80.41) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($82.71) toward Bear Floor ($63.80).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $STRA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “STRA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMOVERSOLD (<32)
2930 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.76>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)
6 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE40% OF RANGE
L: $70$77.81H: $90
1. Money & Cash Health● HEALTHY
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Real cash coming in backs up reported profits (steady margins and healthy balance-sheet cushion).

Factor Grade: BRQD 15 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: C+RQD 27 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● ALL CLEAR
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Clean SEC fine-print check with low hidden accounting risk and favorable interest-rate weather.

Factor Grade: BRQD 30 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on STRA

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BULLISH (75)

9.1% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 8.91% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BULLISH (70)

Altman-Z 3.76 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BULLISH (72)

27/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 16/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like STRA
  • ✓Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.
  • ✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (STRA Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
STRA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -0.75%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $78.19H $78.31L $72.61C $77.81VOL 348.9K
RES: $82.59SUP: $72.60SMA50: $80.79SMA200: $80.41
$90.93$85.96$81.00$76.03$71.07RES $82.59SUP $72.60$77.812026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

STRA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
5.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on STRA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for STRA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for STRA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (STRA)

Real Estate Rank #10 of 51 ⚔️ PRDO vs STRA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Real Estate Peer Comparison (STRA vs. PRDO, UTI, DAO, AFYA)

Industry: Other Consumer Services (73 Tracked Issuers)

Across 51 tracked Real Estate securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Strategic Education Inc. (STRA) ranks #10 by composite RQD confidence (72/100, grade B) and #13 by equity capitalization ($1.73B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PRDO leads on earnings valuation at 12.3x trailing P/E, while DAO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 21.5% ROIC and 44.3% gross margin. UTI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with STRA at 72/100 (B).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
STRA ACTIVE
Strategic Education Inc.
B 72/100 13.6x — 9.1% +0.34% $1.73B Benchmark Subject
PRDO
Perdoceo Education Corporation
B- 70/100 12.3x — 18.0% -0.32% $1.96B /prdo-vs-stra →
UTI
Universal Technical Institute Inc
B 75/100 20.6x — 19.3% +6.59% $1.30B /uti-vs-stra →
DAO
Youdao Inc. each representing one Class A Ordinary Share
D+ 58/100 — 44.3% 21.5% +1.79% $2.33B /dao-vs-stra →
AFYA
Afya Limited (Class A)
D+ 58/100 — — — -0.68% $953.2M /afya-vs-stra →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001013934

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Strategic Education Inc. (STRA) reported GAAP revenue of $1.27B (+4.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.22B , and +11.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $126.6M, operating cash flow of $198.2M, and free cash flow of $153.9M (+19.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, STRA closed FY2025 with $2.04B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.76, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.27B $126.6M $198.2M $153.9M $2.04B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.22B $112.7M $169.3M $128.8M $2.05B $0
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.13B $69.8M $117.1M $117.1M — —

3. STRA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is STRA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Strategic Education Inc. (NASDAQ: STRA) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $77.81 (+0.34% 1D, market cap $1.73B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 51 tracked Real Estate issuers, STRA ranks #10 in composite RQD confidence.

How does STRA compare to PRDO and UTI in the Real Estate sector?

Within the Real Estate sector (Other Consumer Services), STRA carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 13.6x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.1%. By comparison, PRDO (Perdoceo Education Corporation) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 12.3x, ROIC 18.0%, cap $1.96B) and UTI (Universal Technical Institute Inc) posts a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 20.6x, ROIC 19.3%, cap $1.30B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PRDO leads on earnings multiple (12.3x) while DAO leads on capital efficiency (21.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for STRA?

Per STRA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001013934), Strategic Education Inc. generated $1.27B in revenue (+4.0% YoY), $126.6M in net income, and $153.9M in free cash flow against $2.04B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is STRA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

STRA last traded at $77.81 (+0.34% on volume of 262,882 shares), positioning the stock -3.69% below its 50-day simple moving average ($80.79) and -3.23% below its 200-day simple moving average ($80.41). Across its 52-week range of $69.70 to $89.73, STRA sits at the 40.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 29.0 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.6% ($73.45 to $82.17).

STRA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell STRA stock right now?

Strategic Education Inc. (STRA) currently earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy — BUY) with 72/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 9% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

What is STRA's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

STRA's 12-month base price target is $82.71 (range $63.8 to $97.6), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

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