Sow Good Inc. (SOWG) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$2.14 -4.89% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.12

Sow Good Inc. (SOWG) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 35/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $43.0M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.12 (-1.07%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (35/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510035
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D
Cash (9)Whales (5)SEC (10)Macro (8)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.3% Base Target
$17 Bull$2 Base$2 Bear
📬 FREE SOWG RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SOWG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (35/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SOWG SCORES 35/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 1/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+9/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
43
Grade D$2.24-8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
40
Grade D$2.06-9.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
38
Grade E$1.87+14.4% Next Q
Current
35
Grade D-$2.14-8.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (43) → D- (35)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SOWG Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While SOWG currently carries a cautious 35/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.59) and Max Pain ($2.25) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $16.70.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SOWG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SOWG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
44.530 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
1 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE7% OF RANGE
L: $1$2.14H: $16
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: DRQD 9 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 8 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: DRQD 18 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on SOWG

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (45)

-35.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and -10.01% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (50)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 1/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (27)

8/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 8/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like SOWG
  • ✓Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SOWG)

  • ✓Walkthrough of SOWG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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SOWG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +25.88%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $2.19H $2.22L $2.09C $2.14VOL 8.7K
RES: $4.05SUP: $1.02SMA50: $2.59SMA200: $4.11
$9.90$7.50$5.10$2.70$0.29RES $4.05SUP $1.02$2.142026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SOWG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SOWG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SOWG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SOWG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SOWG)

Consumer Staples Rank #128 of 146 ⚔️ BOF vs SOWG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (SOWG vs. BOF, LSF, JVA, BRLS)

Industry: Packaged Foods (41 Tracked Issuers)

Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Sow Good Inc. (SOWG) ranks #128 by composite RQD confidence (35/100, grade D-) and #110 by equity capitalization ($43.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, JVA leads on earnings valuation at 20.8x trailing P/E, while JVA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 6.5% ROIC and 16.0% gross margin. JVA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 46/100 (D) compared with SOWG at 35/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SOWG ACTIVE
Sow Good Inc.
D- 35/100 — — -35.0% -4.89% $43.0M Benchmark Subject
BOF
BranchOut Food Inc.
E 24/100 — 14.8% -35.0% -2.25% $33.4M /bof-vs-sowg →
LSF
Laird Superfood Inc.
E 32/100 — 37.9% -35.0% -0.74% $29.9M /lsf-vs-sowg →
JVA
Coffee Holding Co. Inc.
D 46/100 20.8x 16.0% 6.5% +1.59% $29.2M /jva-vs-sowg →
BRLS
Borealis Foods Inc. (Class A)
D- 38/100 — 11.2% -35.0% +1.87% $23.4M /brls-vs-sowg →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001490161

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Sow Good Inc. (SOWG) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 , and -100.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$40.6M, operating cash flow of -$4.3M, and free cash flow of -$4.3M (+54.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, SOWG closed FY2025 with $3.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 -$40.6M -$4.3M -$4.3M $3.8M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 -$3.7M -$9.4M -$9.4M $54.7M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $16.1M -$3.1M -$4.8M -$4.8M — —

3. SOWG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SOWG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Sow Good Inc. (NASDAQ: SOWG) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 35/100 at a spot price of $2.14 (-4.89% 1D, market cap $43.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, SOWG ranks #128 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SOWG compare to BOF and LSF in the Consumer Staples sector?

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Packaged Foods), SOWG carries a Roarable D- (35/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, BOF (BranchOut Food Inc.) holds a E grade (24/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $33.4M) and LSF (Laird Superfood Inc.) posts a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $29.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, JVA leads on earnings multiple (20.8x) while JVA leads on capital efficiency (6.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SOWG?

Per SOWG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001490161), Sow Good Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$40.6M in net income, and -$4.3M in free cash flow against $3.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SOWG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SOWG last traded at $2.14 (-4.89% on volume of 16,049 shares), positioning the stock -17.37% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.59) and -47.93% below its 200-day simple moving average ($4.11). Across its 52-week range of $1.04 to $15.90, SOWG sits at the 7.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.87 to $2.41).

SOWG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell SOWG stock right now?

Sow Good Inc. (SOWG) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell — SELL) with 35/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is SOWG's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

SOWG's 12-month base price target is $1.92 (range $1.5 to $16.7), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

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