Shoals Technologies Group Inc. (Class A) (SHLS) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$7.55 -0.13% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.53

Shoals Technologies Group Inc. (Class A) (SHLS) receives a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) and flashes a Red SELL / AVOID rating (38/100 RQD Confidence). Alongside weak composite pillar scores, our SEC filing scanner spotted paper earnings outpacing operating cash flow (+117.9% (NI vs OCF)).

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $1.27B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SHLS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Shoals Technologies Group Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: SHLS) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 38/100 at a spot price of $7.55 (-0.13% 1D, market cap $1.27B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Active quantitative signal ACCOUNTING_MIRAGE (BEARISH, conviction undefined/100) notes: undefined.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SHLS compare to AMBQ and WOLF in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), SHLS carries a Roarable D- (38/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 37.8x, gross margin of 35.0%, and ROIC of 7.5%. By comparison, AMBQ (Ambiq Micro Inc.) holds a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.30B) and WOLF (Wolfspeed Inc.) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.7%, cap $1.32B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SHLS leads on earnings multiple (37.8x) while SHLS leads on capital efficiency (7.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SHLS?
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Per SHLS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001831651), Shoals Technologies Group Inc. (Class A) generated $475.3M in revenue (+19.1% YoY), $33.6M in net income, and -$16.0M in free cash flow against $904.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: SEC Accrual Watch: Headline earnings grew faster than operating cash flow—monitor working-capital conversion.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.53 (-0.21%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (38/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510038
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-
Cash (7)Whales (7)SEC (12)Macro (5)CEO (7)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9% Base Target
$14 Bull$7 Base$5 Bear
📬 FREE SHLS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SHLS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (38/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SHLS SCORES 38/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+12/20 pts (32% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.62 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+7/20 pts (18% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 35% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (47.5) create a -15 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
46
Grade D$8.64-15.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
43
Grade D$7.31+0.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
41
Grade D$7.34+2.9% Next Q
Current
38
Grade D-$7.55-7.8% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (46) → D- (38)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SHLS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While SHLS currently carries a cautious 38/100 (D-) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($7.57) and Max Pain ($7.93) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $13.84.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SHLS• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SHLS Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
47.530 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.62>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)
6 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE27% OF RANGE
L: $5$7.55H: $13
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 7 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 14 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● FORENSIC WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Our SEC fine-print scanner flagged elevated accounting or executive-hedging risk combined with interest-rate headwinds.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 17 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on SHLS

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (35)

7.5% ROIC with 35.0% gross margin and -1.26% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (60)

SEC filing audit notes an accounting accrual divergence or executive risk-factor disclosure — monitor upcoming 10-Q/10-K filings.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (32)

14/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 5/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like SHLS
  • ✓Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !SEC Accrual Watch: Headline earnings grew faster than operating cash flow—monitor working-capital conversion.
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SHLS)

  • ✓Walkthrough of SHLS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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SHLS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -8.71%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $7.56H $7.56L $7.55C $7.55VOL 3.33M
RES: $8.14SUP: $7.08SMA50: $7.57SMA200: $8.46
$13.64$11.73$9.83$7.92$6.02RES $8.14SUP $7.08$7.552026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SHLS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
29.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +19.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SHLS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SHLS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SHLS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SHLS)

Technology Rank #513 of 714 ⚔️ AMBQ vs SHLS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (SHLS vs. AMBQ, WOLF, ICHR, AIP)

Industry: Semiconductors (95 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Shoals Technologies Group Inc. (Class A) (SHLS) ranks #513 by composite RQD confidence (38/100, grade D-) and #338 by equity capitalization ($1.27B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SHLS leads on earnings valuation at 37.8x trailing P/E, while SHLS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 7.5% ROIC and 35.0% gross margin. AMBQ currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 40/100 (D-) compared with SHLS at 38/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SHLS ACTIVE
Shoals Technologies Group Inc. (Class A)
D- 38/100 37.8x 35.0% 7.5% -0.13% $1.27B Benchmark Subject
AMBQ
Ambiq Micro Inc.
D- 40/100 — 44.3% -35.0% -1.93% $1.30B /ambq-vs-shls →
WOLF
Wolfspeed Inc.
D- 39/100 — — 0.7% -6.34% $1.32B /wolf-vs-shls →
ICHR
Ichor Holdings
E 32/100 — 9.3% -4.5% -1.51% $1.59B /ichr-vs-shls →
AIP
Arteris Inc.
D- 35/100 — 90.2% -35.0% -3.92% $1.01B /aip-vs-shls →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001831651

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Shoals Technologies Group Inc. (Class A) (SHLS) reported GAAP revenue of $475.3M (+19.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $399.2M , and -2.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $33.6M, operating cash flow of $17.1M, and free cash flow of -$16.0M (-122.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, SHLS closed FY2025 with $904.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.62, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $475.3M $33.6M $17.1M -$16.0M $904.1M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $399.2M $24.1M $80.4M $72.0M $793.1M $141.8M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $488.9M $40.0M $92.0M $92.0M — —

3. SHLS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SHLS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Shoals Technologies Group Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: SHLS) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 38/100 at a spot price of $7.55 (-0.13% 1D, market cap $1.27B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Active quantitative signal ACCOUNTING_MIRAGE (BEARISH, conviction undefined/100) notes: undefined.

How does SHLS compare to AMBQ and WOLF in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), SHLS carries a Roarable D- (38/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 37.8x, gross margin of 35.0%, and ROIC of 7.5%. By comparison, AMBQ (Ambiq Micro Inc.) holds a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.30B) and WOLF (Wolfspeed Inc.) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.7%, cap $1.32B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SHLS leads on earnings multiple (37.8x) while SHLS leads on capital efficiency (7.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SHLS?

Per SHLS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001831651), Shoals Technologies Group Inc. (Class A) generated $475.3M in revenue (+19.1% YoY), $33.6M in net income, and -$16.0M in free cash flow against $904.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: SEC Accrual Watch: Headline earnings grew faster than operating cash flow—monitor working-capital conversion.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SHLS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SHLS last traded at $7.55 (-0.13% on volume of 3,326,088 shares), positioning the stock -0.26% below its 50-day simple moving average ($7.57) and -10.76% below its 200-day simple moving average ($8.46). Across its 52-week range of $5.43 to $13.18, SHLS sits at the 27.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.9% ($6.65 to $8.45).

SHLS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell SHLS stock right now?

Shoals Technologies Group Inc. (Class A) (SHLS) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell — SELL) with 38/100 RQD Confidence. Weak 38/100 RQD score compounded by SEC accrual divergence (+117.9% (NI vs OCF)).

What is SHLS's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

SHLS's 12-month base price target is $6.87 (range $5.36 to $13.84), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

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