Resideo Technologies Inc. (REZI) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$18.80 +2.68% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $18.85

Resideo Technologies Inc. (REZI) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 45/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $2.85B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $18.85 (+0.29%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (45/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510045
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Cash (6)Whales (11)SEC (8)Macro (13)CEO (7)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.9% Base Target
$31 Bull$18 Base$14 Bear
📬 FREE REZI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for REZI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (45/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY REZI SCORES 45/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (29% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 21% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 59.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (24% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±8% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 8.1% operating margin leave 14 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
37
Grade E$17.07-3.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
40
Grade D$16.46+8.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
42
Grade D$17.86+5.3% Next Q
Current
45
Grade D$18.80-6.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (37) → D (45)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a REZI Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While REZI currently carries a cautious 45/100 (D) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($18.42) and Max Pain ($19.74) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $31.45.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $REZI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “REZI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM
59.930 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDDISTRESS RISK (<1.8)
1.72>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
4 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE21% OF RANGE
L: $16$18.80H: $30
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: ERQD 6 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: DRQD 18 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 21 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on REZI

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (30)

8.8% ROIC with 29.4% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (40)

Altman-Z 1.72 and Piotroski 4/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (52)

18/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 13/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like REZI
  • ✓Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring REZI)

  • ✓Walkthrough of REZI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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REZI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -34.70%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $18.61H $18.95L $18.44C $18.80VOL 1.18M
RES: $25.58SUP: $15.11SMA50: $18.42SMA200: $22.72
$29.98$26.16$22.35$18.53$14.72RES $25.58SUP $15.11$18.802026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

REZI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-2.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +10.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on REZI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for REZI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for REZI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (REZI)

Industrials Rank #344 of 485 ⚔️ ADIG vs REZI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (REZI vs. ADIG, BXC, ARCB, EFXT)

Industry: Wholesale Distributors (3 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Resideo Technologies Inc. (REZI) ranks #344 by composite RQD confidence (45/100, grade D) and #185 by equity capitalization ($2.85B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ARCB leads on earnings valuation at 47.0x trailing P/E, while REZI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.8% ROIC and 29.4% gross margin. ARCB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with REZI at 45/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
REZI ACTIVE
Resideo Technologies Inc.
D 45/100 — 29.4% 8.8% +2.68% $2.85B Benchmark Subject
ADIG
ADI Global Distribution Inc.
C- 60/100 — — — +2.19% $1.34B /adig-vs-rezi →
BXC
Bluelinx Holdings Inc.
C 64/100 — 15.3% 4.9% +4.47% $615.1M /bxc-vs-rezi →
ARCB
ArcBest Corporation
C+ 66/100 47.0x — 5.4% +0.48% $2.83B /arcb-vs-rezi →
EFXT
Enerflex Ltd
D+ 58/100 — — — -2.80% $2.97B /efxt-vs-rezi →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001740332

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Resideo Technologies Inc. (REZI) reported GAAP revenue of $7.47B (+10.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $6.76B , and +19.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$527.0M, operating cash flow of -$1.14B, and free cash flow of -$1.25B (-444.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, REZI closed FY2025 with $8.43B in total assets against $3.17B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.72, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $7.47B -$527.0M -$1.14B -$1.25B $8.43B $3.17B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $6.76B $116.0M $444.0M $364.0M $8.20B $1.98B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $6.24B $210.0M $440.0M $440.0M — —

3. REZI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is REZI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Resideo Technologies Inc. (NYSE: REZI) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $18.80 (+2.68% 1D, market cap $2.85B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, REZI ranks #344 in composite RQD confidence.

How does REZI compare to ADIG and BXC in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Wholesale Distributors), REZI carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 29.4%, and ROIC of 8.8%. By comparison, ADIG (ADI Global Distribution Inc.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.34B) and BXC (Bluelinx Holdings Inc.) posts a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 4.9%, cap $615.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ARCB leads on earnings multiple (47.0x) while REZI leads on capital efficiency (8.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for REZI?

Per REZI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001740332), Resideo Technologies Inc. generated $7.47B in revenue (+10.5% YoY), -$527.0M in net income, and -$1.25B in free cash flow against $8.43B in total assets and $3.17B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is REZI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

REZI last traded at $18.80 (+2.68% on volume of 1,282,187 shares), positioning the stock +2.06% above its 50-day simple moving average ($18.42) and -17.25% below its 200-day simple moving average ($22.72). Across its 52-week range of $15.90 to $29.95, REZI sits at the 20.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 59.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.0% ($17.30 to $20.30).

REZI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell REZI stock right now?

Resideo Technologies Inc. (REZI) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D (Sell — SELL) with 45/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (9% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is REZI's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

REZI's 12-month base price target is $17.7 (range $13.81 to $31.45), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

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