Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / RAVE

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Rave Restaurant Group Inc. (RAVE) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

Q: Should I buy, hold, or sell RAVE stock right now?

Rave Restaurant Group Inc. (RAVE) currently earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy — BUY) with 71/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 18% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

Q: What is RAVE's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

RAVE's 12-month base price target is $2.32 (range $1.8 to $3.78), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

$2.19 -1.13% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.19

Rave Restaurant Group Inc. (RAVE) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 71/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 18% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 71/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 14% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.4% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $31.3M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.19 (+0.04%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 27.1% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 71/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 14% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.4% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk B-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RAVE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.2%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (71/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY RAVE SCORES 71/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+18/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 27.1% FCF Margin ($3.5M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade A-$2.30-5.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B+$2.18+0.9% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B+$2.20-0.5% Next Q

Current

Grade B-$2.19+6.8% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: A- (79) → B- (71)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the RAVE Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 71/100 (B-) score, RAVE faces multiple-compression risk if 10.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($2.58) or 200D SMA ($2.87) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($2.32) toward Bear Floor ($1.80).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $RAVE• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “RAVE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 27, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 71%NO 29%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMOVERSOLD (<32)

3130 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

12.22>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

8 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE8% OF RANGE

L: $2$2.19H: $4

1. Money & Cash Health● HEALTHY

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Real cash coming in backs up reported profits (steady margins and healthy balance-sheet cushion).

Factor Grade: A-RQD 17 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: CRQD 26 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● ALL CLEAR

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Clean SEC fine-print check with low hidden accounting risk and favorable interest-rate weather.

Factor Grade: B-RQD 28 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on RAVE

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BULLISH (85)

18.4% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 11.20% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BULLISH (75)

Altman-Z 12.22 and Piotroski 8/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

NEUTRAL (65)

26/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 13/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like RAVE

✓Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.
✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (RAVE Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

RAVE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -20.94%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $2.17H $2.23L $2.09C $2.19VOL 60.0K

RES: $2.82SUP: $1.95SMA50: $2.58SMA200: $2.87

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RAVE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 RAVE Butterfly Map → + Track RAVE →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

0.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +7.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RAVE today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RAVE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RAVE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RAVE)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #163 of 1011 ⚔️ MWYN vs RAVE Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (RAVE vs. MWYN, DIT, HFFG, UNFI)

Industry: Food Distributors (10 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Rave Restaurant Group Inc. (RAVE) ranks #163 by composite RQD confidence (71/100, grade B-) and #853 by equity capitalization ($31.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, RAVE leads on earnings valuation at 10.9x trailing P/E, while RAVE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.4% ROIC and — gross margin. RAVE currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 71/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
RAVE ACTIVE Rave Restaurant Group Inc.	B-	71/100	10.9x	—	18.4%	-1.13%	$31.3M	Benchmark Subject
MWYN Marwynn Holdings Inc.	D	47/100	—	15.3%	-35.0%	+24.82%	$35.5M	/mwyn-vs-rave →
DIT AMCON Distributing Company	D+	56/100	107.3x	6.7%	8.7%	0.00%	$61.0M	/dit-vs-rave →
HFFG HF Foods Group Inc.	D	48/100	—	16.9%	-8.6%	+0.69%	$80.6M	/hffg-vs-rave →
UNFI United Natural Foods Inc.	D+	53/100	—	13.3%	-1.6%	-3.25%	$2.78B	/unfi-vs-rave →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2024–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-06-28 • CIK 0000718332

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-06-28), Rave Restaurant Group Inc. (RAVE) reported GAAP revenue of $12.9M (+7.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $12.0M ) , GAAP net income of $2.9M, operating cash flow of $3.6M, and free cash flow of $3.5M (+4.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, RAVE closed FY2025 with $17.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 12.22, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-06-28	$12.9M	$2.9M	$3.6M	$3.5M	$17.5M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2025-06-29	$12.0M	$2.7M	$3.4M	$3.3M	$16.1M	—

3. RAVE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is RAVE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Rave Restaurant Group Inc. (NASDAQ: RAVE) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 71/100 at a spot price of $2.19 (-1.13% 1D, market cap $31.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, RAVE ranks #163 in composite RQD confidence.

How does RAVE compare to MWYN and DIT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Food Distributors), RAVE carries a Roarable B- (71/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 10.9x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 18.4%. By comparison, MWYN (Marwynn Holdings Inc.) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $35.5M) and DIT (AMCON Distributing Company) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 107.3x, ROIC 8.7%, cap $61.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RAVE leads on earnings multiple (10.9x) while RAVE leads on capital efficiency (18.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RAVE?

Per RAVE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-06-28, CIK 0000718332), Rave Restaurant Group Inc. generated $12.9M in revenue (+7.2% YoY), $2.9M in net income, and $3.5M in free cash flow against $17.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is RAVE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RAVE last traded at $2.19 (-1.13% on volume of 19,367 shares), positioning the stock -15.12% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.58) and -23.69% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.87). Across its 52-week range of $2.06 to $3.60, RAVE sits at the 8.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 31.0 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.2% ($1.99 to $2.39).

RAVE Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell RAVE stock right now?

Rave Restaurant Group Inc. (RAVE) currently earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy — BUY) with 71/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 18% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

What is RAVE's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

RAVE's 12-month base price target is $2.32 (range $1.8 to $3.78), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: RAVE RQD Cockpit RAVE 12M Forecast RAVE Earnings & Move RAVE Dividends & DRIP RAVE Insiders & 13F RAVE Whale Options RAVE Profit Sankey RAVE News & Why