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Navitas Semiconductor Corporation (NVTS) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$9.20 -1.71% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.15

Navitas Semiconductor Corporation (NVTS) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 30/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (30/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $2.40B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on NVTS Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NVTS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Navitas Semiconductor Corporation (NASDAQ: NVTS) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 30/100 at a spot price of $9.20 (-1.71% 1D, market cap $2.40B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, NVTS ranks #604 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NVTS compare to LASR and UCTT in the Technology sector?

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Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), NVTS carries a Roarable E (30/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 31.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, LASR (nLIGHT Inc.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -16.4%, cap $2.25B) and UCTT (Ultra Clean Holdings Inc.) posts a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -9.8%, cap $2.62B). Among the 5-stock peer group, POWI leads on earnings multiple (124.0x) while POWI leads on capital efficiency (1.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NVTS?

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Per NVTS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001821769), Navitas Semiconductor Corporation generated $45.9M in revenue (-44.9% YoY), -$117.0M in net income, and -$44.4M in free cash flow against $500.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.15 (-0.50%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (30/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-12.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NVTS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (30/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY NVTS SCORES 30/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (33% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 31% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+9/20 pts (30% of score)

Altman Z-Score 23.85 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$9.99-13.6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$8.63-2.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$8.40+9.5% Next Q

Current

Grade E$9.20-9.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (38) → E (30)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NVTS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NVTS currently carries a cautious 30/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($10.83) and Max Pain ($9.66) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $35.88.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NVTS• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “NVTS Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 30%NO 70%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

44.330 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

23.85>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)

3 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE9% OF RANGE

L: $7$9.20H: $34

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: DRQD 10 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 8 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: ERQD 12 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on NVTS

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (50)

-35.0% ROIC with 31.0% gross margin and -1.85% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BEARISH (45)

Altman-Z 23.85 and Piotroski 3/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (18)

8/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 3/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like NVTS

✓Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NVTS)

✓Walkthrough of NVTS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

NVTS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -42.21%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-02O $9.36H $9.36L $9.20C $9.20VOL 7.65M

RES: $12.07SUP: $2.61SMA50: $10.83SMA200: $13.31

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NVTS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NVTS Butterfly Map → + Track NVTS →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -44.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NVTS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NVTS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NVTS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NVTS)

Technology Rank #604 of 714 ⚔️ LASR vs NVTS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (NVTS vs. LASR, UCTT, POWI, IMOS)

Industry: Semiconductors (95 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Navitas Semiconductor Corporation (NVTS) ranks #604 by composite RQD confidence (30/100, grade E) and #276 by equity capitalization ($2.40B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, POWI leads on earnings valuation at 124.0x trailing P/E, while POWI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 1.3% ROIC and 54.5% gross margin. IMOS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 55/100 (D+) compared with NVTS at 30/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
NVTS ACTIVE Navitas Semiconductor Corporation	E	30/100	—	31.0%	-35.0%	-1.71%	$2.40B	Benchmark Subject
LASR nLIGHT Inc.	D	46/100	—	29.8%	-16.4%	+1.33%	$2.25B	/lasr-vs-nvts →
UCTT Ultra Clean Holdings Inc.	D-	43/100	—	15.7%	-9.8%	-2.11%	$2.62B	/uctt-vs-nvts →
POWI Power Integrations Inc.	D+	53/100	124.0x	54.5%	1.3%	-0.59%	$2.74B	/powi-vs-nvts →
IMOS ChipMOS TECHNOLOGIES INC.	D+	55/100	—	—	—	-4.10%	$2.08B	/imos-vs-nvts →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001821769

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Navitas Semiconductor Corporation (NVTS) reported GAAP revenue of $45.9M (-44.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $83.3M , and -42.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$117.0M, operating cash flow of -$42.9M, and free cash flow of -$44.4M (+32.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, NVTS closed FY2025 with $500.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 23.85, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$45.9M	-$117.0M	-$42.9M	-$44.4M	$500.5M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$83.3M	-$84.6M	-$58.8M	-$65.6M	$390.0M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$79.5M	-$145.4M	-$41.4M	-$41.4M	—	—

3. NVTS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NVTS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does NVTS compare to LASR and UCTT in the Technology sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NVTS?

Where is NVTS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NVTS last traded at $9.20 (-1.71% on volume of 7,645,983 shares), positioning the stock -15.05% below its 50-day simple moving average ($10.83) and -30.88% below its 200-day simple moving average ($13.31). Across its 52-week range of $6.85 to $34.17, NVTS sits at the 8.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($8.05 to $10.35).

NVTS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell NVTS stock right now?

Navitas Semiconductor Corporation (NVTS) currently earns a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell — SELL) with 30/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is NVTS's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

NVTS's 12-month base price target is $8.04 (range $6.27 to $35.88), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: NVTS RQD Cockpit NVTS 12M Forecast NVTS Earnings & Move NVTS Dividends & DRIP NVTS Insiders & 13F NVTS Whale Options NVTS Profit Sankey NVTS News & Why