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Karat Packaging Inc. (KRT) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$54.39 +1.85% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $54.70

Karat Packaging Inc. (KRT) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 74/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (37% profit margin, 29% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 74/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 12% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.4% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $1.08B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $54.70 (+0.57%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 7.1% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 74/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 12% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.4% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk B+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+7.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for KRT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.3%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (74/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY KRT SCORES 74/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 7.75 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 7.1% FCF Margin ($33.1M FCF) & 36.8% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-10 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade A$54.58-2.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade A-$53.31-0.6% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B+$53.00+2.6% Next Q

Current

Grade B$54.39+7.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: A (82) → B (74)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the KRT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 74/100 (B) score, KRT faces multiple-compression risk if 34.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 34.3% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($51.55) or 200D SMA ($35.75) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($58.31) toward Bear Floor ($44.60).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $KRT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “KRT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 74%NO 26%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM

5530 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

7.75>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

8 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE95% OF RANGE

L: $21$54.39H: $56

1. Money & Cash Health● HEALTHY

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Real cash coming in backs up reported profits (37% profit margin and healthy balance-sheet cushion).

Factor Grade: A-RQD 17 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: CRQD 26 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● ALL CLEAR

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Clean SEC fine-print check with low hidden accounting risk and favorable interest-rate weather.

Factor Grade: B+RQD 31 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on KRT

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BULLISH (85)

29.3% ROIC with 36.8% gross margin and 3.05% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BULLISH (90)

Altman-Z 7.75 and Piotroski 8/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

NEUTRAL (65)

26/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 13/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like KRT

✓Strong cash generator (37% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.
✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (KRT Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

KRT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +89.58%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-10-30O $54.43H $55.17L $53.41C $54.39VOL 106.6K

RES: $57.81SUP: $54.31SMA50: $51.55SMA200: $35.75

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

KRT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 KRT Butterfly Map → + Track KRT →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

26.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +10.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on KRT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for KRT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for KRT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (KRT)

Industrials Rank #32 of 485 ⚔️ MYE vs KRT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (KRT vs. MYE, SWIM, NWL, CMT)

Industry: Plastic Products (9 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Karat Packaging Inc. (KRT) ranks #32 by composite RQD confidence (74/100, grade B) and #246 by equity capitalization ($1.08B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CMT leads on earnings valuation at 17.8x trailing P/E, while KRT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 29.3% ROIC and 36.8% gross margin. KRT currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 74/100 (B).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
KRT ACTIVE Karat Packaging Inc.	B	74/100	34.4x	36.8%	29.3%	+1.85%	$1.08B	Benchmark Subject
MYE Myers Industries Inc.	C-	59/100	32.7x	33.4%	10.4%	-5.62%	$1.14B	/mye-vs-krt →
SWIM Latham Group Inc.	C-	60/100	76.8x	33.4%	3.5%	+2.98%	$854.1M	/swim-vs-krt →
NWL Newell Brands Inc.	D-	39/100	—	33.8%	0.5%	-2.49%	$2.16B	/nwl-vs-krt →
CMT Core Molding Technologies Inc	C-	60/100	17.8x	17.4%	8.2%	+1.49%	$199.3M	/cmt-vs-krt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001758021

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Karat Packaging Inc. (KRT) reported GAAP revenue of $467.7M (+10.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $422.6M , and +15.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $31.5M, operating cash flow of $33.8M, and free cash flow of $33.1M (-29.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, KRT closed FY2025 with $287.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 7.75, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$467.7M	$31.5M	$33.8M	$33.1M	$287.7M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$422.6M	$30.0M	$48.0M	$47.0M	$294.5M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$405.7M	$32.5M	$53.4M	$53.4M	—	—

3. KRT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is KRT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Karat Packaging Inc. (NASDAQ: KRT) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 74/100 at a spot price of $54.39 (+1.85% 1D, market cap $1.08B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, KRT ranks #32 in composite RQD confidence.

How does KRT compare to MYE and SWIM in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Plastic Products), KRT carries a Roarable B (74/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 34.4x, gross margin of 36.8%, and ROIC of 29.3%. By comparison, MYE (Myers Industries Inc.) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 32.7x, ROIC 10.4%, cap $1.14B) and SWIM (Latham Group Inc.) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 76.8x, ROIC 3.5%, cap $854.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CMT leads on earnings multiple (17.8x) while KRT leads on capital efficiency (29.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KRT?

Per KRT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001758021), Karat Packaging Inc. generated $467.7M in revenue (+10.7% YoY), $31.5M in net income, and $33.1M in free cash flow against $287.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (37% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is KRT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

KRT last traded at $54.39 (+1.85% on volume of 144,804 shares), positioning the stock +5.51% above its 50-day simple moving average ($51.55) and +52.14% above its 200-day simple moving average ($35.75). Across its 52-week range of $20.61 to $56.06, KRT sits at the 95.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.3% ($50.96 to $57.82).

KRT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell KRT stock right now?

Karat Packaging Inc. (KRT) currently earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy — BUY) with 74/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (37% profit margin, 29% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

What is KRT's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

KRT's 12-month base price target is $58.31 (range $44.6 to $68.81), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: KRT RQD Cockpit KRT 12M Forecast KRT Earnings & Move KRT Dividends & DRIP KRT Insiders & 13F KRT Whale Options KRT Profit Sankey KRT News & Why