Green Dot Corporation $0.001 par value (Class A) (GDOT) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$12.39 +1.06% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.39

Green Dot Corporation $0.001 par value (Class A) (GDOT) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $706.0M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on GDOT Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is GDOT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-01, Green Dot Corporation $0.001 par value (Class A) (NYSE: GDOT) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $12.39 (+1.06% 1D, market cap $706.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, GDOT ranks #323 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does GDOT compare to LU and BTGO in the Financials sector?
▼

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), GDOT carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 30.6%. By comparison, LU (Lufax Holding Ltd (each representing twenty (20) )) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $687.3M) and BTGO (BitGo Holdings Inc. (Class A)) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $680.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CGBD leads on earnings multiple (10.6x) while GDOT leads on capital efficiency (30.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GDOT?
▼

Per GDOT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001386278), Green Dot Corporation $0.001 par value (Class A) generated $1.99B in revenue (+19.8% YoY), -$98.9M in net income, and $66.0M in free cash flow against $5.99B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.39 (+0.00%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 18/20 (A) • 3.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510065
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk D+
Cash (18)Whales (11)SEC (8)Macro (14)CEO (14)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.1% Base Target
$15 Bull$13 Base$10 Bear
📬 FREE GDOT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GDOT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±3.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (65/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY GDOT SCORES 65/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+18/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 3.3% FCF Margin ($66.0M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+14/20 pts (22% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 63% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 45 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 12 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
73
Grade B$12.61-3.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
70
Grade B$12.20+1.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
68
Grade B-$12.36+0.2% Next Q
Current
65
Grade C$12.39+1.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B (73) → C (65)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the GDOT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 65/100 (C) score, GDOT faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($12.77) or 200D SMA ($12.51) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($12.78) toward Bear Floor ($9.97).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GDOT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “GDOT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
4530 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
4 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE63% OF RANGE
L: $10$12.39H: $14
1. Money & Cash Health● HEALTHY
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Real cash coming in backs up reported profits (steady margins and healthy balance-sheet cushion).

Factor Grade: ARQD 18 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: CRQD 25 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 22 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on GDOT

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BULLISH (90)

30.6% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 9.35% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (40)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 4/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (65)

25/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 14/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like GDOT
  • ✓Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.
  • ✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (GDOT Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
GDOT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -1.27%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $12.50H $12.50L $12.25C $12.39VOL 262.8K
RES: $13.43SUP: $11.32SMA50: $12.77SMA200: $12.51
$13.88$13.26$12.63$12.01$11.39RES $13.43SUP $11.32$12.392026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GDOT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-11.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +19.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GDOT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GDOT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GDOT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GDOT)

Financials Rank #323 of 1096 ⚔️ LU vs GDOT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (GDOT vs. LU, BTGO, FINV, CGBD)

Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Green Dot Corporation $0.001 par value (Class A) (GDOT) ranks #323 by composite RQD confidence (65/100, grade C) and #623 by equity capitalization ($706.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CGBD leads on earnings valuation at 10.6x trailing P/E, while GDOT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 30.6% ROIC and — gross margin. GDOT currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 65/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
GDOT ACTIVE
Green Dot Corporation $0.001 par value (Class A)
C 65/100 — — 30.6% +1.06% $706.0M Benchmark Subject
LU
Lufax Holding Ltd (each representing twenty (20) )
D 48/100 — — — -2.94% $687.3M /lu-vs-gdot →
BTGO
BitGo Holdings Inc. (Class A)
D 50/100 — — — -0.17% $680.6M /btgo-vs-gdot →
FINV
FinVolution Group
C- 60/100 — — 15.4% +0.71% $672.9M /finv-vs-gdot →
CGBD
Carlyle Secured Lending Inc.
D 50/100 10.6x — 6.0% +2.27% $743.8M /cgbd-vs-gdot →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001386278

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Green Dot Corporation $0.001 par value (Class A) (GDOT) reported GAAP revenue of $1.99B (+19.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.66B , and +36.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$98.9M, operating cash flow of $138.6M, and free cash flow of $66.0M (+830.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, GDOT closed FY2025 with $5.99B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.99B -$98.9M $138.6M $66.0M $5.99B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.66B -$26.7M $81.4M $7.1M $5.43B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.46B $6.7M $97.5M $97.5M — —

3. GDOT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GDOT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Green Dot Corporation $0.001 par value (Class A) (NYSE: GDOT) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $12.39 (+1.06% 1D, market cap $706.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, GDOT ranks #323 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GDOT compare to LU and BTGO in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), GDOT carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 30.6%. By comparison, LU (Lufax Holding Ltd (each representing twenty (20) )) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $687.3M) and BTGO (BitGo Holdings Inc. (Class A)) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $680.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CGBD leads on earnings multiple (10.6x) while GDOT leads on capital efficiency (30.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GDOT?

Per GDOT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001386278), Green Dot Corporation $0.001 par value (Class A) generated $1.99B in revenue (+19.8% YoY), -$98.9M in net income, and $66.0M in free cash flow against $5.99B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GDOT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GDOT last traded at $12.39 (+1.06% on volume of 205,737 shares), positioning the stock -2.98% below its 50-day simple moving average ($12.77) and -0.96% below its 200-day simple moving average ($12.51). Across its 52-week range of $10.10 to $13.75, GDOT sits at the 62.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.8% ($11.92 to $12.86).

GDOT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell GDOT stock right now?

Green Dot Corporation $0.001 par value (Class A) (GDOT) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C (Hold — HOLD) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. Solid steady margins (31% return on capital), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is GDOT's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

GDOT's 12-month base price target is $12.78 (range $9.97 to $15.08), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

LIVE TAPE SPY $755.72 -0.38% QQQ $690.49 -1.44% DIA $517.13 -0.37% IWM $279.33 +0.96% NVDA $213.66 -0.80% AAPL $348.91 +1.48% MSFT $530.14 -0.16% TSLA $403.30 -0.23% PLTR $196.42 -0.20% SOFI $17.61 +2.74% IBIT $43.36 -0.94% GLD $355.78 -1.34%