German American Bancorp Inc. (GABC) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$49.41 +0.94% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $49.40

German American Bancorp Inc. (GABC) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 67/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.86B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on GABC Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is GABC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, German American Bancorp Inc. (NASDAQ: GABC) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $49.41 (+0.94% 1D, market cap $1.86B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, GABC ranks #214 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does GABC compare to DCOM and STBA in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), GABC carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 16.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.7%. By comparison, DCOM (Dime Commercial Bancshares Inc.) holds a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 16.9x, ROIC 7.5%, cap $1.87B) and STBA (S&T Bancorp Inc.) posts a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 13.4x, ROIC 9.2%, cap $1.80B). Among the 5-stock peer group, STBA leads on earnings multiple (13.4x) while RBCAA leads on capital efficiency (11.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GABC?
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Per GABC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000714395), German American Bancorp Inc. generated $487.4M in revenue (+37.8% YoY), $112.6M in net income, and $154.0M in free cash flow against $8.39B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $49.40 (-0.02%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 31.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 67/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510067
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk C
Cash (15)Whales (10)SEC (13)Macro (13)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4% Base Target
$61 Bull$51 Base$40 Bear
📬 FREE GABC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GABC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (67/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY GABC SCORES 67/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 31.6% FCF Margin ($154.0M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-10 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
59
Grade C$48.82+1.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
62
Grade C+$49.61+3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
64
Grade C+$51.11-3.3% Next Q
Current
67
Grade C+$49.41+1.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (59) → C+ (67)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the GABC Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 67/100 (C+) score, GABC faces multiple-compression risk if 16.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($49.41) or 200D SMA ($45.73) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($51.41) toward Bear Floor ($40.10).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GABC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “GABC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
49.330 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)
6 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE81% OF RANGE
L: $38$49.41H: $52
1. Money & Cash Health● HEALTHY
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Real cash coming in backs up reported profits (steady margins and healthy balance-sheet cushion).

Factor Grade: BRQD 15 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: CRQD 26 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: CRQD 26 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on GABC

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BULLISH (75)

9.7% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 8.29% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (65)

26/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 13/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like GABC
  • ✓Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.
  • ✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (GABC Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
GABC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +15.77%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $48.95H $49.41L $48.95C $49.41VOL 154.5K
RES: $52.02SUP: $46.65SMA50: $49.41SMA200: $45.73
$53.04$49.69$46.34$43.00$39.65RES $52.02SUP $46.65$49.412026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GABC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
9.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +37.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GABC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GABC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GABC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GABC)

Financials Rank #214 of 1096 ⚔️ DCOM vs GABC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (GABC vs. DCOM, STBA, RBCAA, FSUN)

Industry: Major Banks (248 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, German American Bancorp Inc. (GABC) ranks #214 by composite RQD confidence (67/100, grade C+) and #439 by equity capitalization ($1.86B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, STBA leads on earnings valuation at 13.4x trailing P/E, while RBCAA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.9% ROIC and — gross margin. DCOM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 72/100 (B) compared with GABC at 67/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
GABC ACTIVE
German American Bancorp Inc.
C+ 67/100 16.5x — 9.7% +0.94% $1.86B Benchmark Subject
DCOM
Dime Commercial Bancshares Inc.
B 72/100 16.9x — 7.5% +1.15% $1.87B /dcom-vs-gabc →
STBA
S&T Bancorp Inc.
C+ 67/100 13.4x — 9.2% +1.21% $1.80B /stba-vs-gabc →
RBCAA
Republic Bancorp Inc. (Class A)
C+ 67/100 13.7x — 11.9% +0.30% $1.80B /rbcaa-vs-gabc →
FSUN
FirstSun Capital Bancorp
C 63/100 18.3x — 8.5% +0.69% $1.79B /fsun-vs-gabc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000714395

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), German American Bancorp Inc. (GABC) reported GAAP revenue of $487.4M (+37.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $353.7M , and +53.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $112.6M, operating cash flow of $159.3M, and free cash flow of $154.0M (+69.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, GABC closed FY2025 with $8.39B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $487.4M $112.6M $159.3M $154.0M $8.39B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $353.7M $83.8M $95.8M $90.7M $6.30B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $316.9M $85.9M $107.2M $107.2M — —

3. GABC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GABC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, German American Bancorp Inc. (NASDAQ: GABC) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $49.41 (+0.94% 1D, market cap $1.86B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, GABC ranks #214 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GABC compare to DCOM and STBA in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), GABC carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 16.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.7%. By comparison, DCOM (Dime Commercial Bancshares Inc.) holds a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 16.9x, ROIC 7.5%, cap $1.87B) and STBA (S&T Bancorp Inc.) posts a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 13.4x, ROIC 9.2%, cap $1.80B). Among the 5-stock peer group, STBA leads on earnings multiple (13.4x) while RBCAA leads on capital efficiency (11.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GABC?

Per GABC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000714395), German American Bancorp Inc. generated $487.4M in revenue (+37.8% YoY), $112.6M in net income, and $154.0M in free cash flow against $8.39B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GABC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GABC last traded at $49.41 (+0.94% on volume of 154,513 shares), positioning the stock 0.00% above its 50-day simple moving average ($49.41) and +8.05% above its 200-day simple moving average ($45.73). Across its 52-week range of $37.73 to $52.23, GABC sits at the 80.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 49.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.4% ($47.24 to $51.58).

GABC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell GABC stock right now?

German American Bancorp Inc. (GABC) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold — HOLD) with 67/100 RQD Confidence. Solid steady margins (10% return on capital), mixed timing at 17x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is GABC's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

GABC's 12-month base price target is $51.41 (range $40.1 to $60.66), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

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