Danaos Corporation (DAC) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$158.86 +0.05% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $158.57

Danaos Corporation (DAC) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $2.89B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $158.57 (-0.18%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 61.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510065
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C
Cash (14)Whales (8)SEC (11)Macro (15)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.1% Base Target
$193 Bull$164 Base$128 Bear
📬 FREE DAC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DAC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (65/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY DAC SCORES 65/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 83% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 45.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
73
Grade B$169.09-6.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
70
Grade B$158.17+0.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
68
Grade B-$158.34+0.3% Next Q
Current
65
Grade C$158.86+1.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B (73) → C (65)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the DAC Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 65/100 (C) score, DAC faces multiple-compression risk if 5.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($157.75) or 200D SMA ($130.70) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($163.86) toward Bear Floor ($127.81).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DAC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “DAC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
45.330 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDWATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)
2.95>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
7 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE83% OF RANGE
L: $89$158.86H: $173
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: B-RQD 14 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: CRQD 25 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: CRQD 26 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on DAC

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BULLISH (70)

10.9% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 22.30% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (55)

Altman-Z 2.95 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BULLISH (67)

25/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 15/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like DAC
  • ✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (DAC Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
DAC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +31.93%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $158.0H $158.9L $155.5C $158.9VOL 106.6K
RES: $179.6SUP: $159.0SMA50: $157.8SMA200: $130.7
$177.9$156.6$135.4$114.1$92.84RES $179.6SUP $159.0$158.92026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DAC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-11.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +2.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DAC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DAC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DAC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DAC)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #280 of 1011 ⚔️ SBLK vs DAC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (DAC vs. SBLK, CDLR, TNK, ZIM)

Industry: Marine Transportation (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Danaos Corporation (DAC) ranks #280 by composite RQD confidence (65/100, grade C) and #369 by equity capitalization ($2.89B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DAC leads on earnings valuation at 5.8x trailing P/E, while TNK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 20.1% ROIC and 66.7% gross margin. TNK currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 71/100 (B-) compared with DAC at 65/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
DAC ACTIVE
Danaos Corporation
C 65/100 5.8x — 10.9% +0.05% $2.89B Benchmark Subject
SBLK
Star Bulk Carriers Corp.
C- 61/100 38.3x — 5.5% +0.24% $3.22B /sblk-vs-dac →
CDLR
Cadeler A/S (each representing four (4) )
C 62/100 — — — +3.49% $2.58B /cdlr-vs-dac →
TNK
Teekay Tankers Ltd.
B- 71/100 — 66.7% 20.1% +1.95% $3.51B /tnk-vs-dac →
ZIM
ZIM Integrated Shipping Services Ltd.
D+ 58/100 — — — -1.42% $3.52B /zim-vs-dac →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001369241

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Danaos Corporation (DAC) reported GAAP revenue of $1.04B (+2.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.01B , and +7.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $494.6M, operating cash flow of $644.8M, and free cash flow of $644.8M (+3.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, DAC closed FY2025 with $5.11B in total assets against $872.1M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.95, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.04B $494.6M $644.8M $644.8M $5.11B $872.1M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.01B $505.1M $621.8M $621.8M $4.34B $699.6M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $973.6M $576.3M $576.3M $576.3M — —

3. DAC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DAC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Danaos Corporation (NYSE: DAC) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $158.86 (+0.05% 1D, market cap $2.89B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, DAC ranks #280 in composite RQD confidence.

How does DAC compare to SBLK and CDLR in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), DAC carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 5.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 10.9%. By comparison, SBLK (Star Bulk Carriers Corp.) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 38.3x, ROIC 5.5%, cap $3.22B) and CDLR (Cadeler A/S (each representing four (4) )) posts a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.58B). Among the 5-stock peer group, DAC leads on earnings multiple (5.8x) while TNK leads on capital efficiency (20.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DAC?

Per DAC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001369241), Danaos Corporation generated $1.04B in revenue (+2.8% YoY), $494.6M in net income, and $644.8M in free cash flow against $5.11B in total assets and $872.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is DAC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DAC last traded at $158.86 (+0.05% on volume of 90,604 shares), positioning the stock +0.70% above its 50-day simple moving average ($157.75) and +21.55% above its 200-day simple moving average ($130.70). Across its 52-week range of $89.07 to $172.76, DAC sits at the 83.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.9% ($151.08 to $166.64).

DAC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell DAC stock right now?

Danaos Corporation (DAC) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C (Hold — HOLD) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. Solid steady margins (11% return on capital), mixed timing at 6x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is DAC's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

DAC's 12-month base price target is $163.86 (range $127.81 to $193.35), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

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