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Crane NXT Co. (CXT) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$60.22 +3.31% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $60.72

Crane NXT Co. (CXT) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 74/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (43% profit margin, 19% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 74/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 12% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.4% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $3.47B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $60.73 (+0.84%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 12% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 74/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 12% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.4% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B+ · Rk C+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+7.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CXT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.9%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (74/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY CXT SCORES 74/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+16/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 12% FCF Margin ($198.3M FCF) & 42.5% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 9 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B-$50.45+8.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B-$54.72+3.9% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B$56.88+5.9% Next Q

Current

Grade B$60.22+7.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B- (66) → B (74)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CXT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 74/100 (B) score, CXT faces multiple-compression risk if 23.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 40.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($51.00) or 200D SMA ($47.84) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($64.56) toward Bear Floor ($49.38).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CXT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “CXT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 74%NO 26%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM

66.530 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDWATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)

2.19>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

7 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE82% OF RANGE

L: $36$60.22H: $66

1. Money & Cash Health● HEALTHY

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Real cash coming in backs up reported profits (43% profit margin and healthy balance-sheet cushion).

Factor Grade: B+RQD 16 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● BUYING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Hedge funds and options traders are leaning bullish, showing strong institutional appetite.

Factor Grade: B+RQD 31 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: C+RQD 27 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on CXT

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BULLISH (80)

19.1% ROIC with 42.5% gross margin and 5.72% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

NEUTRAL (55)

Altman-Z 2.19 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BULLISH (78)

31/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 16/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like CXT

✓Strong cash generator (43% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.
✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (CXT Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

CXT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +34.78%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $59.98H $60.33L $58.55C $60.22VOL 745.1K

RES: $69.84SUP: $48.54SMA50: $51.00SMA200: $47.84

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CXT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CXT Butterfly Map → + Track CXT →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

17.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +11.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CXT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CXT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CXT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CXT)

Industrials Rank #31 of 485 ⚔️ MWA vs CXT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (CXT vs. MWA, CSTM, SMR, XE)

Industry: Metal Fabrications (47 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Crane NXT Co. (CXT) ranks #31 by composite RQD confidence (74/100, grade B) and #172 by equity capitalization ($3.47B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CSTM leads on earnings valuation at 11.8x trailing P/E, while XE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 38.5% ROIC and — gross margin. MWA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 76/100 (B+) compared with CXT at 74/100 (B).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
CXT ACTIVE Crane NXT Co.	B	74/100	23.9x	42.5%	19.1%	+3.31%	$3.47B	Benchmark Subject
MWA MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS	B+	76/100	18.6x	36.1%	14.0%	+2.94%	$3.56B	/mwa-vs-cxt →
CSTM Constellium SE (France)	B-	70/100	11.8x	—	28.7%	-1.68%	$3.23B	/cstm-vs-cxt →
SMR NuScale Power Corporation	E	26/100	—	36.3%	-35.0%	+4.41%	$2.54B	/smr-vs-cxt →
XE X-Energy Inc.	D+	56/100	32.8x	—	38.5%	+1.39%	$4.75B	/xe-vs-cxt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000025445

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Crane NXT Co. (CXT) reported GAAP revenue of $1.66B (+11.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.49B , and +19.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $145.1M, operating cash flow of $241.5M, and free cash flow of $198.3M (+17.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, CXT closed FY2025 with $3.12B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.19, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.66B	$145.1M	$241.5M	$198.3M	$3.12B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.49B	$184.1M	$214.1M	$168.7M	$2.39B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.39B	$188.3M	$276.3M	$276.3M	—	—

3. CXT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CXT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Crane NXT Co. (NYSE: CXT) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 74/100 at a spot price of $60.22 (+3.31% 1D, market cap $3.47B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, CXT ranks #31 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CXT compare to MWA and CSTM in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Metal Fabrications), CXT carries a Roarable B (74/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 23.9x, gross margin of 42.5%, and ROIC of 19.1%. By comparison, MWA (MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS) holds a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 18.6x, ROIC 14.0%, cap $3.56B) and CSTM (Constellium SE (France)) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 11.8x, ROIC 28.7%, cap $3.23B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CSTM leads on earnings multiple (11.8x) while XE leads on capital efficiency (38.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CXT?

Per CXT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000025445), Crane NXT Co. generated $1.66B in revenue (+11.4% YoY), $145.1M in net income, and $198.3M in free cash flow against $3.12B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (43% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CXT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CXT last traded at $60.22 (+3.31% on volume of 633,713 shares), positioning the stock +18.08% above its 50-day simple moving average ($51.00) and +25.88% above its 200-day simple moving average ($47.84). Across its 52-week range of $35.71 to $65.56, CXT sits at the 82.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 66.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.9% ($55.46 to $64.98).

CXT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell CXT stock right now?

Crane NXT Co. (CXT) currently earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy — BUY) with 74/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (43% profit margin, 19% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

What is CXT's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

CXT's 12-month base price target is $64.56 (range $49.38 to $76.18), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: CXT RQD Cockpit CXT 12M Forecast CXT Earnings & Move CXT Dividends & DRIP CXT Insiders & 13F CXT Whale Options CXT Profit Sankey CXT News & Why