BitGo Holdings Inc. (Class A) (BTGO) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$5.79 -0.17% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.78

BitGo Holdings Inc. (Class A) (BTGO) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $680.6M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on BTGO Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is BTGO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, BitGo Holdings Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: BTGO) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $5.79 (-0.17% 1D, market cap $680.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, BTGO ranks #853 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does BTGO compare to LU and FINV in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), BTGO carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, LU (Lufax Holding Ltd (each representing twenty (20) )) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $687.3M) and FINV (FinVolution Group) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 15.4%, cap $672.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BTGO leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while GDOT leads on capital efficiency (30.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BTGO?
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Per BTGO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001740604), BitGo Holdings Inc. (Class A) generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $4.55B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.78 (-0.22%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510050
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+
Cash (10)Whales (8)SEC (13)Macro (10)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.6% Base Target
$26 Bull$6 Base$4 Bear
📬 FREE BTGO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BTGO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (50/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY BTGO SCORES 50/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (20% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0.5% FCF Margin ($19.1M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
58
Grade C$7.33-19.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
55
Grade C$5.88-6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
53
Grade C-$5.53+4.7% Next Q
Current
50
Grade D$5.79-1.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (58) → D (50)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a BTGO Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While BTGO currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($6.92) and Max Pain ($6.08) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $25.73.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BTGO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “BTGO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
34.630 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
7 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE6% OF RANGE
L: $5$5.79H: $25
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: DRQD 10 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 17 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 23 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on BTGO

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (50)

14.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (45)

17/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 10/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like BTGO
  • ✓Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BTGO)

  • ✓Walkthrough of BTGO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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BTGO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -42.62%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $5.38H $5.79L $5.09C $5.79VOL 1.11M
RES: $9.08SUP: $4.64SMA50: $6.92SMA200: $8.04
$13.57$11.16$8.74$6.32$3.90RES $9.08SUP $4.64$5.792026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BTGO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BTGO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BTGO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BTGO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BTGO)

Financials Rank #853 of 1096 ⚔️ LU vs BTGO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (BTGO vs. LU, FINV, GDOT, TRON)

Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, BitGo Holdings Inc. (Class A) (BTGO) ranks #853 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #634 by equity capitalization ($680.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BTGO leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while GDOT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 30.6% ROIC and — gross margin. GDOT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 65/100 (C) compared with BTGO at 50/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
BTGO ACTIVE
BitGo Holdings Inc. (Class A)
D 50/100 — — — -0.17% $680.6M Benchmark Subject
LU
Lufax Holding Ltd (each representing twenty (20) )
D 48/100 — — — -2.94% $687.3M /lu-vs-btgo →
FINV
FinVolution Group
C- 60/100 — — 15.4% +0.71% $672.9M /finv-vs-btgo →
GDOT
Green Dot Corporation $0.001 par value (Class A)
C 65/100 — — 30.6% +1.06% $706.0M /gdot-vs-btgo →
TRON
Tron Inc.
E 26/100 — — -0.9% -11.40% $645.2M /tron-vs-btgo →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2025–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001740604

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), BitGo Holdings Inc. (Class A) (BTGO) reported GAAP revenue of $0 , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, BTGO closed FY2025 with $4.55B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: N/A).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 $0 — — $4.55B —

3. BTGO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BTGO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, BitGo Holdings Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: BTGO) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $5.79 (-0.17% 1D, market cap $680.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, BTGO ranks #853 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BTGO compare to LU and FINV in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), BTGO carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, LU (Lufax Holding Ltd (each representing twenty (20) )) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $687.3M) and FINV (FinVolution Group) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 15.4%, cap $672.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BTGO leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while GDOT leads on capital efficiency (30.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BTGO?

Per BTGO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001740604), BitGo Holdings Inc. (Class A) generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $4.55B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BTGO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BTGO last traded at $5.79 (-0.17% on volume of 676,472 shares), positioning the stock -16.33% below its 50-day simple moving average ($6.92) and -27.99% below its 200-day simple moving average ($8.04). Across its 52-week range of $4.65 to $24.50, BTGO sits at the 5.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 34.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($5.07 to $6.51).

BTGO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell BTGO stock right now?

BitGo Holdings Inc. (Class A) (BTGO) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D (Sell — SELL) with 50/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is BTGO's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

BTGO's 12-month base price target is $5.58 (range $4.35 to $25.73), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

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