Alta Equipment Group Inc. (Class A) (ALTG) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$7.60 +2.98% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.63

Alta Equipment Group Inc. (Class A) (ALTG) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 52/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $248.3M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.63 (+0.35%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 1.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 52/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510052
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+
Cash (9)Whales (11)SEC (8)Macro (13)CEO (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.8% Base Target
$9 Bull$7 Base$6 Bear
📬 FREE ALTG RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ALTG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (52/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ALTG SCORES 52/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 76% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 65.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (21% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±11.3% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 12 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
44
Grade D$6.34-6.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
47
Grade D$5.94+4.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
49
Grade D$6.22+22.2% Next Q
Current
52
Grade D+$7.60-1.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (44) → D+ (52)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ALTG Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ALTG currently carries a cautious 52/100 (D+) rating due to SEC 10-K Forensic Risk (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($6.22) and Max Pain ($7.98) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $9.12.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ALTG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ALTG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM
65.330 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDDISTRESS RISK (<1.8)
1.49>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)
5 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE76% OF RANGE
L: $4$7.60H: $9
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: DRQD 9 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 22 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 21 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on ALTG

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (45)

4.0% ROIC with 25.9% gross margin and 9.59% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (40)

Altman-Z 1.49 and Piotroski 5/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (58)

22/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 13/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like ALTG
  • ✓Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ALTG)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ALTG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ALTG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -1.94%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $7.43H $7.60L $7.17C $7.60VOL 149.8K
RES: $8.23SUP: $5.91SMA50: $6.22SMA200: $6.51
$8.95$7.88$6.80$5.73$4.66RES $8.23SUP $5.91$7.602026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ALTG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
22.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -2.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ALTG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ALTG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ALTG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ALTG)

Industrials Rank #279 of 485 ⚔️ CHPT vs ALTG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (ALTG vs. CHPT, SERV, MVST, ULBI)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Alta Equipment Group Inc. (Class A) (ALTG) ranks #279 by composite RQD confidence (52/100, grade D+) and #339 by equity capitalization ($248.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ALTG leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while ALTG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 4.0% ROIC and 25.9% gross margin. ULBI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 53/100 (D+) compared with ALTG at 52/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ALTG ACTIVE
Alta Equipment Group Inc. (Class A)
D+ 52/100 — 25.9% 4.0% +2.98% $248.3M Benchmark Subject
CHPT
ChargePoint Holdings Inc.
E 29/100 — 30.5% -35.0% +0.54% $248.9M /chpt-vs-altg →
SERV
Serve Robotics Inc.
E 33/100 — -30.0% -35.0% -5.96% $246.2M /serv-vs-altg →
MVST
Microvast Holdings Inc.
D 49/100 — 28.6% 1.8% +0.23% $239.8M /mvst-vs-altg →
ULBI
Ultralife Corporation
D+ 53/100 — 24.1% -2.8% +0.06% $260.3M /ulbi-vs-altg →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001759824

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Alta Equipment Group Inc. (Class A) (ALTG) reported GAAP revenue of $1.84B (-2.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.88B , and -2.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$80.3M, operating cash flow of $33.0M, and free cash flow of $23.8M (-42.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, ALTG closed FY2025 with $1.34B in total assets against $484.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.49, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.84B -$80.3M $33.0M $23.8M $1.34B $484.5M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.88B -$62.1M $57.0M $41.6M $1.48B $480.0M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.88B $8.9M $58.4M $58.4M — —

3. ALTG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ALTG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Alta Equipment Group Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: ALTG) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $7.60 (+2.98% 1D, market cap $248.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, ALTG ranks #279 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ALTG compare to CHPT and SERV in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), ALTG carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 25.9%, and ROIC of 4.0%. By comparison, CHPT (ChargePoint Holdings Inc.) holds a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $248.9M) and SERV (Serve Robotics Inc.) posts a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $246.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ALTG leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ALTG leads on capital efficiency (4.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALTG?

Per ALTG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001759824), Alta Equipment Group Inc. (Class A) generated $1.84B in revenue (-2.2% YoY), -$80.3M in net income, and $23.8M in free cash flow against $1.34B in total assets and $484.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ALTG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ALTG last traded at $7.60 (+2.98% on volume of 235,816 shares), positioning the stock +22.19% above its 50-day simple moving average ($6.22) and +16.74% above its 200-day simple moving average ($6.51). Across its 52-week range of $4.16 to $8.69, ALTG sits at the 75.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 65.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.3% ($6.74 to $8.46).

ALTG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell ALTG stock right now?

Alta Equipment Group Inc. (Class A) (ALTG) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell — SELL) with 52/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (4% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is ALTG's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

ALTG's 12-month base price target is $7.39 (range $5.76 to $9.12), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

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