Why WTM Stock advanced +1.67% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$2,245.46 +1.67% NYSE • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

White Mountains Insurance Group Ltd. (WTM) receives a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) and flashes a Red SELL / AVOID warning (63/100 RQD Confidence). Our SEC filing scanner spotted paper earnings outpacing real operating cash flow (+226.2% (NI vs OCF)) while unpaid customer invoices grew—a classic sign to step aside until cash flow catches up.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $5.36B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
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RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510063
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D
Cash (9)Whales (10)SEC (8)Macro (16)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.2% Base Target
$2709 Bull$2296 Base$1791 Bear
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WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:59% Call Buyers ($2.6M)
41% PutsMax Pain: $2,201.00
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Why WTM Stock advanced +1.67% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

White Mountains Insurance Group Ltd. (WTM) advanced +1.67% to $2245.46 as options desks priced 59% call premium vs. 41% put protection around the $2201 max-pain magnet. Accounting Warning: Paper earnings outpaced operating cash flow (+226.2% (NI vs OCF)) as receivables rose.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 81% of its 52-week range ($1863.6 – $2333) with RSI-14 at 76.3 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)).
  • ▸Whale Options Positioning: $2.6M in bullish call flow vs. $1.9M in put flow (Put/Call 0.70x, implied earnings swing ±7.1%).
  • ▸Primary SEC / Cross-Feed Trigger: WTM Accounting Gap: Net Income (+220%) Outpaced OCF (-6.2%) With +-42.8% Working-Capital Build
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WTM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +1.70%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $2,256.4H $2,274.7L $2,241.2C $2,270.0VOL 20.3K
SUP: $1,957.1SMA50: $2,102.3SMA200: $2,136.8
$2,294.9$2,211.4$2,128.0$2,044.5$1,961.1SUP $1,957.1$2,270.02026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
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WTM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-14.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +66.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on WTM today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for WTM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for WTM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

WTM Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is WTM stock moving today?

Why WTM Stock advanced +1.67% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Accounting Warning: Paper earnings outpaced operating cash flow (+226.2% (NI vs OCF)) as receivables rose.