UnitedHealth Group Incorporated (UNH) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$410.91 +0.94% NYSE • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

UnitedHealth Group Incorporated (UNH) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 70/100 RQD Confidence. Cash-backed 11% return on capital boosted by $1.37B (36C10G24K0111) in obligated U.S. government contracts. Even if the broader market gets choppy, the company’s underlying cash engine and big-money support put the odds in buyers’ favor.

ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $364.66B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-
025507510070
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B- · Rk B+
Cash (14)Whales (11)SEC (16)Macro (16)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+19.2% Base Target
$531 Bull$490 Base$431 Bear
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WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:27% Call Buyers ($874.0K)
73% PutsMax Pain: $400.00
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How UNH Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$16.07B (3.6% FCF Margin)
Revenue$447.57BGross Profit $396.91B (88.7%)Cost of Sales $50.66BOp Profit $18.96B (4.2%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $377.95BNet Profit$12.06B (2.7%)Tax/Other $6.91B

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow
FY21
Rev $287.60B
FY22
Rev $324.16B
FY23
Rev $371.62B
FY24
Rev $400.28B
FY25
Rev $447.57B
Fiscal YearRevenueGross MarginOp MarginNet ProfitFree Cash FlowROIC %
FY 2025$447.57B88.7%4.2%$12.06B$16.07B9.8%
FY 2024$400.28B88.3%8.1%$14.40B$20.70B17.1%
FY 2023$371.62B89.6%8.7%$22.38B$25.68B19.6%
FY 2022$324.16B89.6%8.8%$20.12B$23.40B19.6%
FY 2021$287.60B89.2%8.3%$17.29B$19.89B19.3%
FY 2020$257.14B88%8.7%$15.40B$20.12B18.9%
SEC 10-K YEAR-OVER-YEAR FINE-PRINT DIFF SCANNERRisk Trajectory: ESCALATING

UnitedHealth Group's FY2025 Form 10-K (accession 0000731766-26-000062) signals operational friction and top-line slowdown across its high-margin analytics franchise, evidenced by a $1.7B contraction in total Optum Insight backlog and an explicit $1.5B drop in 12-month expected realization. Concurrently, management discloses an unheralded 2026 business realignment alongside condensed risk-transfer disclosures in commercial benefits, indicating internal restructuring pressures to defend margins against elevated medical loss ratios and heightened regulatory scrutiny across Medicare Advantage and payment integrity operations.

OPTUM INSIGHT BACKLOG CONTRACTION & REVENUE RUN-RATE DECELERATION (CRITICAL)

Optum Insight's contract backlog fell by 5.2% year-over-year while near-term 12-month convertible revenue dropped $1.5B (7.6%). This marks a material structural deterioration in external payer and provider software/services demand, pointing to decelerating growth and customer churn in UNH's highest-margin technology segment following regulatory pushback against automated payment integrity workflows.

SEGMENT REALIGNMENT & OPERATING STRUCTURE VOLATILITY (MEDIUM)

Management quietly instituted a segment resegmentation effective Q1 2026. Historically, mid-stream business reorganizations at managed care conglomerates obscure underperforming business lines, shift overhead allocations away from high-scrutiny Optum units, and reset comparative historical baselines ahead of Medicare Advantage risk-adjustment regulatory audits.

COMMERCIAL UNDERWRITING RISK CONCENTRATION DISCLOSURE COMPRESSION (MEDIUM)

The registrant stripped out granular descriptions of administrative facilitation, network fee extraction, and risk demarcation between fee-for-service administration and balance-sheet risk-based insurance. This streamlines legal liability disclosures as self-insured employer sponsors face increasing ERISA fiduciary litigation over excessive PBM and administrative processing spreads.

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UNH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +10.36%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $419.0H $420.9L $404.3C $407.0VOL 20.32M
RES: $407.5SUP: $348.4SMA50: $390.2SMA200: $362.8
$472.7$426.6$380.5$334.4$288.3RES $407.5SUP $348.4$407.02026-05-012026-06-122026-07-312026-09-112026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

UNH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
-1.94% YoY Shares

SEC XBRL FY2024 → FY2025: Net share cannibal / buyback tailwind.

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
19.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on UNH today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →
LLY → UNH Confirmed Filing
FDA label expansions of GLP-1 drugs into cardiovascular risk reduction, obstructive sleep apnea, and kidney disease unlock Medicare Part D statutory coverage, elevating UnitedHealthcare specialty drug costs.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video 🏛️ COMMENT_RULEMAKING: CMS Contract Year Medicare Advantage Capitation Benchmark & Part D GLP-1 Coverage Rulemaking (Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (HHS — 42 CFR Parts 422 & 423))
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for UNH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

UNH Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is UnitedHealth Group Incorporated (UNH)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), UNH converted $447.6B of revenue into a 88.7% gross margin, 4.2% operating margin, and $16.1B in free cash flow (3.6% FCF margin).