Trip.com Group Limited (TCOM) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$38.56 -0.03% NASDAQ • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Trip.com Group Limited (TCOM) receives a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) and flashes a Red SELL / AVOID warning (59/100 RQD Confidence). Our SEC filing scanner spotted paper earnings outpacing real operating cash flow (+127.2% (NI vs OCF)) while unpaid customer invoices grew—a classic sign to step aside until cash flow catches up.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $24.28B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510059
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D
Cash (5)Whales (10)SEC (8)Macro (17)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.4% Base Target
$83 Bull$39 Base$30 Bear
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:59% Call Buyers ($2.6M)
41% PutsMax Pain: $38.00
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your TCOM Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $38.56: 259.3 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $30.21
$7,835
$-2,165 (-21.7%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $38.73
$10,044
+$44 (+0.4%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $82.94
$21,509
+$11,509 (+115.1%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$4074%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadBUY$7869%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchHOLD$3458%C
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ETHosted Live by Perry Belcher & Guest Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: How Pros Profit When Overhyped Stocks Crack (Featuring TCOM)

  • ✓Live walkthrough of TCOM's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge setups institutions use when 10-year yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes instant 24/7 email alert whenever any of your stocks flip to Red
RQD INSIDER CLUB UPGRADE$49/YEAR
Want Plain-English AI Custom Indicators, Daily Pro Trader Video Clips & SMS Crash Alerts?
TCOM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -26.97%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $39.50H $40.04L $39.47C $39.59VOL 3.71M
RES: $44.69SUP: $37.48SMA50: $40.48SMA200: $47.88
$66.41$58.59$50.78$42.97$35.16RES $44.69SUP $37.48$39.592026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TCOM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-13.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +22.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TCOM today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TCOM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TCOM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

TCOM Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is TCOM's 12-month stock price target?

Trip.com Group Limited (TCOM) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $38.73 (+0.4% from $38.56), with a bull-case target of $82.94 and a bear-case floor of $30.21.

Is TCOM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates TCOM D+ (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 59/100.