Semtech Corporation (SMTC) Whale Options Tug-of-War, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$140.85 -4.16% NASDAQ • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Semtech Corporation (SMTC) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. The underlying business is intact, so current owners don’t need to panic-sell—but mixed big-money flow or rich pricing means new buyers can afford to wait for either a pullback or a B-or-higher upgrade.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $13.14B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510068
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk B+
Cash (14)Whales (10)SEC (16)Macro (16)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.5% Base Target
$212 Bull$147 Base$115 Bear
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:53% Call Buyers ($2.4M)
47% PutsMax Pain: $138.00
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
53% Calls / 47% Puts
Put/Call Ratio: 0.87x
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
$138.00
-2.02% vs. current $140.85 spot
OPTIONS-IMPLIED VOLATILITY MOVE
±7.8%
Expected event band around $140.85

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (SMTC)

$130
5,975C / 12,324P
$135
5,975C / 12,324P
$140
13,973C / 12,324P
$145
13,973C / 5,327P
$150
13,973C / 5,327P
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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Trading SMTC & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Exact institutional whale strikes & implied earnings range on SMTC this week
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SMTC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +21.26%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $128.0H $132.7L $122.4C $127.4VOL 3.20M
RES: $208.6SUP: $123.6SMA50: $157.2SMA200: $125.0
$211.0$173.6$136.1$98.69$61.25RES $208.6SUP $123.6$127.42026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SMTC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
15.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +15.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SMTC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SMTC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SMTC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

SMTC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is SMTC's options max pain and whale flow sentiment?

Unusual options sweeps in SMTC show 53% bullish call premium versus 47% put premium, centered near a $138 max-pain strike.