Semtech Corporation (SMTC) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$140.85 -4.16% NASDAQ • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Semtech Corporation (SMTC) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. The underlying business is intact, so current owners don’t need to panic-sell—but mixed big-money flow or rich pricing means new buyers can afford to wait for either a pullback or a B-or-higher upgrade.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $13.14B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510068
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk B+
Cash (14)Whales (10)SEC (16)Macro (16)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.5% Base Target
$212 Bull$147 Base$115 Bear
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:53% Call Buyers ($2.4M)
47% PutsMax Pain: $138.00
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your SMTC Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $140.85: 71.0 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $114.81
$8,151
$-1,849 (-18.5%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $147.19
$10,450
+$450 (+4.5%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $212.09
$15,058
+$5,058 (+50.6%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$15374%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadBUY$19969%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchHOLD$13158%C
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ETHosted Live by Perry Belcher & Guest Trading Systems Desk

Today's Top 3 RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Setups (Live SMTC Tape Review)

  • ✓Live breakdown of today’s highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts
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RQD INSIDER CLUB UPGRADE$49/YEAR
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SMTC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +21.26%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $128.0H $132.7L $122.4C $127.4VOL 3.20M
RES: $208.6SUP: $123.6SMA50: $157.2SMA200: $125.0
$211.0$173.6$136.1$98.69$61.25RES $208.6SUP $123.6$127.42026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SMTC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
15.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +15.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SMTC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SMTC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SMTC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

SMTC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is SMTC's 12-month stock price target?

Semtech Corporation (SMTC) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $147.19 (+4.5% from $140.85), with a bull-case target of $212.09 and a bear-case floor of $114.81.

Is SMTC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates SMTC C+ (Hold — HOLD) with an RQD Confidence score of 68/100.