Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$34.43 -3.85% NASDAQ • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) receives a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) and flashes a Red SELL / AVOID warning (61/100 RQD Confidence). Our SEC filing scanner spotted paper earnings outpacing real operating cash flow (-175.8% (NI vs OCF)) while unpaid customer invoices grew—a classic sign to step aside until cash flow catches up.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $22.62B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510061
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D
Cash (14)Whales (9)SEC (8)Macro (13)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.3% Base Target
$56 Bull$35 Base$27 Bear
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:48% Call Buyers ($2.2M)
52% PutsMax Pain: $34.00
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your SMCI Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $34.43: 290.4 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $27.21
$7,903
$-2,097 (-21.0%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $34.89
$10,134
+$134 (+1.3%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $55.66
$16,166
+$6,166 (+61.7%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$3674%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadBUY$5269%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchHOLD$3158%C
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ETHosted Live by Perry Belcher & Guest Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: How Pros Profit When Overhyped Stocks Crack (Featuring SMCI)

  • ✓Live walkthrough of SMCI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge setups institutions use when 10-year yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes instant 24/7 email alert whenever any of your stocks flip to Red
RQD INSIDER CLUB UPGRADE$49/YEAR
Want Plain-English AI Custom Indicators, Daily Pro Trader Video Clips & SMS Crash Alerts?
SMCI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +20.26%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $32.59H $33.17L $31.33C $32.95VOL 38.25M
RES: $47.32SUP: $31.83SMA50: $38.23SMA200: $32.67
$53.36$45.24$37.11$28.98$20.86RES $47.32SUP $31.83$32.952026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SMCI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
15.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +46.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
INVALIDATED · 200D Mean-Reversion Squeeze Watch

Trigger: $36.74 • Invalidation: $34.10

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →
NVDA → SMCI Confirmed Filing
Super Micro integrates NVIDIA HGX and Blackwell GPUs into rack-scale Direct Liquid Cooling (DLC) servers, driving rapid top-line revenue expansion but intense working-capital and margin sensitivity.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video 💡 Share-Count Creep & Refinancing Watch: Separating Real Free Cash Flow from SBC Dilution (gideon-ashmere) 💡 Starter Kit: Forensic Dilution & Refinancing Stress Watch (gideon-ashmere)
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SMCI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

SMCI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is SMCI's 12-month stock price target?

Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $34.89 (+1.3% from $34.43), with a bull-case target of $55.66 and a bear-case floor of $27.21.

Is SMCI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates SMCI D (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 61/100.