Rivian Automotive Inc. (RIVN) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$11.45 -1.88% NASDAQ • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Rivian Automotive Inc. (RIVN) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh money.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $16.58B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510057
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk B+
Cash (3)Whales (10)SEC (8)Macro (16)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.4% Base Target
$24 Bull$11 Base$9 Bear
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:52% Call Buyers ($2.3M)
48% PutsMax Pain: $11.00
SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

RIVN Smart-Money Thermometer: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →
▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (RIVN)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on RIVN. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ETHosted Live by Perry Belcher & Guest Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: How Pros Profit When Overhyped Stocks Crack (Featuring RIVN)

  • ✓Live walkthrough of RIVN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge setups institutions use when 10-year yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes instant 24/7 email alert whenever any of your stocks flip to Red
RQD INSIDER CLUB UPGRADE$49/YEAR
Want Plain-English AI Custom Indicators, Daily Pro Trader Video Clips & SMS Crash Alerts?
RIVN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -25.85%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-10-30O $12.10H $12.27L $11.53C $12.16VOL 62.61M
RES: $14.34SUP: $14.31SMA50: $14.53SMA200: $15.46
$20.82$18.26$15.70$13.14$10.59RES $14.34SUP $14.31$12.162026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RIVN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
14.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +8.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RIVN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →
TSLA → RIVN Analyst Hypothesis
Tesla manufacturing scale and aggressive financing promotions establish a hard price ceiling across US premium EVs, squeezing unit gross margins at sub-scale manufacturer Rivian ahead of R2 launch.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video 💡 Share-Count Creep & Refinancing Watch: Separating Real Free Cash Flow from SBC Dilution (gideon-ashmere) 💡 Starter Kit: Forensic Dilution & Refinancing Stress Watch (gideon-ashmere)
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RIVN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

RIVN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are RIVN insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies RIVN leadership and institutional positioning as: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING.