Rivian Automotive Inc. (RIVN) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials
$11.45 -1.88% NASDAQ • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot
Rivian Automotive Inc. (RIVN) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh money.
ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID
Cap $16.58B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk B+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.4% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:52% Call Buyers ($2.3M)
48% PutsMax Pain: $11.00
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)
How RIVN Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit
Free Cash Flow:$0 (0% FCF Margin)
Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory
■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow
FY23
Rev $4.43B
FY24
Rev $4.97B
FY25
Rev $5.39B
| Fiscal Year | Revenue | Gross Margin | Op Margin | Net Profit | Free Cash Flow | ROIC % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $5.39B | 2.7% | -66.5% | -$3.65B | -$2.49B | -45% |
| FY 2024 | $4.97B | -24.1% | -94.3% | -$4.75B | -$2.86B | -45% |
| FY 2023 | $4.43B | 44% | -129.4% | -$5.43B | -$5.07B | -45% |
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ETHosted Live by Perry Belcher & Guest Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: How Pros Profit When Overhyped Stocks Crack (Featuring RIVN)
- ✓Live walkthrough of RIVN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge setups institutions use when 10-year yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes instant 24/7 email alert whenever any of your stocks flip to Red
RQD INSIDER CLUB UPGRADE$49/YEAR
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RIVN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -25.85%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-10-30O $12.10H $12.27L $11.53C $12.16VOL 62.61M
RES: $14.34SUP: $14.31SMA50: $14.53SMA200: $15.46
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
RIVN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
14.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +8.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RIVN today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
TSLA → RIVN Analyst Hypothesis
Tesla manufacturing scale and aggressive financing promotions establish a hard price ceiling across US premium EVs, squeezing unit gross margins at sub-scale manufacturer Rivian ahead of R2 launch.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
💡 Share-Count Creep & Refinancing Watch: Separating Real Free Cash Flow from SBC Dilution (gideon-ashmere)
💡 Starter Kit: Forensic Dilution & Refinancing Stress Watch (gideon-ashmere)
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RIVN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
RIVN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDHow profitable is Rivian Automotive Inc. (RIVN)?
In FY 2025 (10-K), RIVN converted $5.4B of revenue into a 2.7% gross margin, 0% operating margin, and $0 in free cash flow (0% FCF margin).