Why NMR Stock surged +3.84% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$9.47 +3.84% NYSE • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Nomura Holdings Inc ADR (NMR) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The underlying business is intact, so current owners don’t need to panic-sell—but mixed big-money flow or rich pricing means new buyers can afford to wait for either a pullback or a B-or-higher upgrade.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $27.48B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510064
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B+
Cash (11)Whales (10)SEC (16)Macro (15)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.7% Base Target
$11 Bull$10 Base$8 Bear
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:61% Call Buyers ($3.0M)
39% PutsMax Pain: $9.00
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Why NMR Stock surged +3.84% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Nomura Holdings Inc ADR (NMR) surged +3.84% to $9.47 as options desks priced 61% call premium vs. 39% put protection around the $9 max-pain magnet. Solid 41% profit margin (10% return on capital), mixed timing at 33x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 64% of its 52-week range ($6.88 – $10.94) with RSI-14 at 47.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Whale Options Positioning: $3.0M in bullish call flow vs. $1.9M in put flow (Put/Call 0.65x, implied earnings swing ±7.4%).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 41% gross margin and $607.2M annual free cash flow.
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NMR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +16.38%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $9.43H $9.53L $9.30C $9.38VOL 2.48M
RES: $11.69SUP: $8.87SMA50: $9.84SMA200: $9.00
$11.17$10.23$9.29$8.36$7.42RES $11.69SUP $8.87$9.382026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NMR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
25.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. 0.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NMR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NMR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NMR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

NMR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is NMR stock moving today?

Why NMR Stock surged +3.84% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid 41% profit margin (10% return on capital), mixed timing at 33x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.