Nomura Holdings Inc ADR (NMR) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$9.47 +3.84% NYSE • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Nomura Holdings Inc ADR (NMR) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The underlying business is intact, so current owners don’t need to panic-sell—but mixed big-money flow or rich pricing means new buyers can afford to wait for either a pullback or a B-or-higher upgrade.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $27.48B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510064
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B+
Cash (11)Whales (10)SEC (16)Macro (15)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.7% Base Target
$11 Bull$10 Base$8 Bear
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:61% Call Buyers ($3.0M)
39% PutsMax Pain: $9.00
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your NMR Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $9.47: 1056.0 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $7.59
$8,015
$-1,985 (-19.9%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $9.73
$10,275
+$275 (+2.7%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $11.49
$12,133
+$2,133 (+21.3%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$1074%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadBUY$1169%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchHOLD$958%C
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Today's Top 3 RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Setups (Live NMR Tape Review)

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RQD INSIDER CLUB UPGRADE$49/YEAR
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NMR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +16.38%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $9.43H $9.53L $9.30C $9.38VOL 2.48M
RES: $11.69SUP: $8.87SMA50: $9.84SMA200: $9.00
$11.17$10.23$9.29$8.36$7.42RES $11.69SUP $8.87$9.382026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NMR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
25.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. 0.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NMR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NMR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NMR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

NMR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is NMR's 12-month stock price target?

Nomura Holdings Inc ADR (NMR) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $9.73 (+2.7% from $9.47), with a bull-case target of $11.49 and a bear-case floor of $7.59.

Is NMR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates NMR C (Hold — HOLD) with an RQD Confidence score of 64/100.