National Fuel Gas Company (NFG) Whale Options Tug-of-War, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$79.36 -1.06% NYSE • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

National Fuel Gas Company (NFG) receives a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) and flashes a Red SELL / AVOID warning (59/100 RQD Confidence). Our SEC filing scanner spotted paper earnings outpacing real operating cash flow (+216.8% (NI vs OCF)) while unpaid customer invoices grew—a classic sign to step aside until cash flow catches up.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $7.54B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510059
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D
Cash (8)Whales (10)SEC (8)Macro (13)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.5% Base Target
$102 Bull$80 Base$62 Bear
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:54% Call Buyers ($2.4M)
46% PutsMax Pain: $78.00
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
54% Calls / 46% Puts
Put/Call Ratio: 0.84x
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
$78.00
-1.71% vs. current $79.36 spot
OPTIONS-IMPLIED VOLATILITY MOVE
±7.4%
Expected event band around $79.36

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (NFG)

$70
6,087C / 12,062P
$75
6,087C / 12,062P
$80
14,236C / 12,062P
$85
14,236C / 5,213P
$90
14,236C / 5,213P
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Red-Light Warning Desk: How Pros Profit When Overhyped Stocks Crack (Featuring NFG)

  • ✓Live walkthrough of NFG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside levels
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NFG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -5.72%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $80.09H $80.09L $79.18C $79.55VOL 1.02M
RES: $81.80SUP: $73.08SMA50: $80.31SMA200: $83.37
$92.67$87.89$83.11$78.33$73.55RES $81.80SUP $73.08$79.552026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NFG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
6.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +30.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NFG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NFG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NFG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

NFG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is NFG's options max pain and whale flow sentiment?

Unusual options sweeps in NFG show 54% bullish call premium versus 46% put premium, centered near a $78 max-pain strike.