Why NFG Stock slipped -1.06% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$79.36 -1.06% NYSE • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

National Fuel Gas Company (NFG) receives a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) and flashes a Red SELL / AVOID warning (59/100 RQD Confidence). Our SEC filing scanner spotted paper earnings outpacing real operating cash flow (+216.8% (NI vs OCF)) while unpaid customer invoices grew—a classic sign to step aside until cash flow catches up.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $7.54B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
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RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510059
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D
Cash (8)Whales (10)SEC (8)Macro (13)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.5% Base Target
$102 Bull$80 Base$62 Bear
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WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:54% Call Buyers ($2.4M)
46% PutsMax Pain: $78.00
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Why NFG Stock slipped -1.06% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

National Fuel Gas Company (NFG) slipped -1.06% to $79.36 as options desks priced 54% call premium vs. 46% put protection around the $78 max-pain magnet. Accounting Warning: Paper earnings outpaced operating cash flow (+216.8% (NI vs OCF)) as receivables rose.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 20% of its 52-week range ($75.03 – $97.06) with RSI-14 at 49.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Whale Options Positioning: $2.4M in bullish call flow vs. $2.1M in put flow (Put/Call 0.84x, implied earnings swing ±7.4%).
  • ▸Primary SEC / Cross-Feed Trigger: NFG Accounting Gap: Net Income (+220%) Outpaced OCF (+3.2%) With +-12.8% Working-Capital Build
Live NFG Headlines & Catalysts
CATALYSTSeekingAlpha • 6d ago
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NFG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -5.72%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $80.09H $80.09L $79.18C $79.55VOL 1.02M
RES: $81.80SUP: $73.08SMA50: $80.31SMA200: $83.37
$92.67$87.89$83.11$78.33$73.55RES $81.80SUP $73.08$79.552026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NFG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
6.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +30.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NFG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NFG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NFG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

NFG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is NFG stock moving today?

Why NFG Stock slipped -1.06% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Accounting Warning: Paper earnings outpaced operating cash flow (+216.8% (NI vs OCF)) as receivables rose.