NextEra Energy, Inc. (NEE) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$82.14 +1.38% NYSE • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

NextEra Energy, Inc. (NEE) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh money.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $175.57B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
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RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
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5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+
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Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+19.1% Base Target
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WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:18% Call Buyers ($246.2K)
82% PutsMax Pain: $80.00
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How NEE Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$12.48B (48.4% FCF Margin)
Revenue$25.80BGross Profit $13.42B (52%)Cost of Sales $12.38BOp Profit $8.28B (32.1%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $5.14BNet Profit$6.83B (26.5%)Tax/Other $1.45B

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow
FY21
Rev $18.80B
FY22
Rev $23.00B
FY23
Rev $24.80B
FY24
Rev $23.50B
FY25
Rev $25.80B
Fiscal YearRevenueGross MarginOp MarginNet ProfitFree Cash FlowROIC %
FY 2025$25.80B52%32.1%$6.83B$12.48B4.5%
FY 2024$23.50B52%31.8%$6.95B$13.26B4.6%
FY 2023$24.80B52%41.3%$7.31B$11.30B7.2%
FY 2022$23.00B52%17.7%$4.15B$8.26B3.2%
FY 2021$18.80B52%15.5%$3.57B$7.55B2.6%
FY 2020$17.00B52%30.1%$2.92B$7.98B5%
SEC 10-K YEAR-OVER-YEAR FINE-PRINT DIFF SCANNERRisk Trajectory: ESCALATING

NextEra Energy's FY2025 10-K (accession 0000753308-26-000015) signals escalating operational, supply chain, and capital expenditure headwinds across both FPL and NEER. Disclosures reflect mounting regulatory scrutiny around hyperscale data center interconnection queues, tariff/AD-CVD exposure on imported battery and solar cells, and surging capital expenditure commitments under elevated interest rates. The modifications strip away prior hedging assurances, signaling potential margin dilution and development delays in the unregulated renewables backlog.

GRID INTERCONNECTION & HYPERSCALE DATA CENTER OFF-TAKE DELAYS (CRITICAL)

Management can no longer guarantee project commissioning schedules for lucrative hyperscale PPA contracts (Google, Microsoft, Meta). Regulators and regional RTOs are pushing back against utility infrastructure buildout costs being shifted to rate payers, exposing NEER to liquidated damages and contract cancellation risks on late-stage pipeline assets.

SOLAR & LFP BATTERY IMPORT TARIFFS AND TRADE CONTROLS (CRITICAL)

Supply chain hedges and domestic content procurement have broken down under heightened customs enforcement and expanding AD/CVD duties on Asian LFP battery cells and module precursors. Project IRRs face direct margin compression as replacement domestic hardware carries massive premiums and lead times exceeding 24 months.

CAPITAL COMMITMENTS & VARIABLE-RATE DEBT SENSITIVITY (MEDIUM)

With a consolidated Debt/Equity ratio near 1.77x and an Altman Z-score hovering near 1.08, debt service is compounding against elevated capex commitments. Management is alerting credit markets that FCF generation and ROE metrics will deteriorate as billions in maturing low-coupon debt roll over into significantly higher refinancing rates.

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NEE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -13.66%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-10-30O $81.96H $84.40L $80.87C $83.71VOL 58.65M
RES: $83.23SUP: $69.87SMA50: $80.24SMA200: $87.31
$100.5$93.40$86.34$79.28$72.22RES $83.23SUP $69.87$83.712026-05-012026-06-122026-07-312026-09-112026-10-30
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NEE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
+ 0.55% YoY Shares

SEC XBRL FY2024 → FY2025: Disciplined near-zero share dilution.

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
15.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +7.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NEE today. View full Setup Ledger →

NEE Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is NextEra Energy, Inc. (NEE)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), NEE converted $25.8B of revenue into a 52% gross margin, 32.1% operating margin, and $12.5B in free cash flow (48.4% FCF margin).