Meritage Homes Corporation (MTH) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$64.49 +3.98% NYSE • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Meritage Homes Corporation (MTH) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The underlying business is intact, so current owners don’t need to panic-sell—but mixed big-money flow or rich pricing means new buyers can afford to wait for either a pullback or a B-or-higher upgrade.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $4.20B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510065
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk A-
Cash (10)Whales (10)SEC (16)Macro (17)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.1% Base Target
$90 Bull$67 Base$52 Bear
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:60% Call Buyers ($2.7M)
40% PutsMax Pain: $63.00
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your MTH Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $64.49: 155.1 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $51.89
$8,046
$-1,954 (-19.5%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $66.52
$10,315
+$315 (+3.1%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $89.65
$13,901
+$3,901 (+39.0%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$6974%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadBUY$8469%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchHOLD$5958%C
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ETHosted Live by Perry Belcher & Guest Trading Systems Desk

Today's Top 3 RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Setups (Live MTH Tape Review)

  • ✓Live breakdown of today’s highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts
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RQD INSIDER CLUB UPGRADE$49/YEAR
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MTH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -4.26%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-10-30O $63.52H $66.00L $63.39C $64.47VOL 1.33M
RES: $60.81SUP: $52.03SMA50: $64.28SMA200: $68.90
$87.39$79.06$70.73$62.40$54.08RES $60.81SUP $52.03$64.472026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MTH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-2.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +8.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MTH today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MTH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MTH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

MTH Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is MTH's 12-month stock price target?

Meritage Homes Corporation (MTH) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $66.52 (+3.1% from $64.49), with a bull-case target of $89.65 and a bear-case floor of $51.89.

Is MTH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates MTH C (Hold — HOLD) with an RQD Confidence score of 65/100.