Matador Resources Company (MTDR) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$59.83 -0.02% NYSE • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Matador Resources Company (MTDR) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. The underlying business is intact, so current owners don’t need to panic-sell—but mixed big-money flow or rich pricing means new buyers can afford to wait for either a pullback or a B-or-higher upgrade.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $7.40B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510068
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk B+
Cash (14)Whales (10)SEC (16)Macro (16)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.5% Base Target
$74 Bull$63 Base$49 Bear
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:57% Call Buyers ($2.6M)
43% PutsMax Pain: $59.00
RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM
65.930 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDWATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)
1.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
7 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE76% OF RANGE
L: $37$59.83H: $67
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (94% profit margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: B-RQD 14 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 22 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● ALL CLEAR
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Clean SEC fine-print check with low hidden accounting risk and favorable interest-rate weather.

Factor Grade: B+RQD 32 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on MTDR

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BULLISH (70)

12.1% ROIC with 94.3% gross margin and 22.00% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BULLISH (80)

Altman-Z 1.80 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (63)

Put/Call 0.76x with 22/40 institutional & insider flow.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like MTDR
  • ✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ETHosted Live by Perry Belcher & Guest Trading Systems Desk

Today's Top 3 RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Setups (Live MTDR Tape Review)

  • ✓Live breakdown of today’s highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts
  • ✓1 urgent Red-Light accounting trap to cut from your watchlist immediately
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RQD INSIDER CLUB UPGRADE$49/YEAR
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MTDR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -4.04%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $60.52H $60.92L $60.19C $60.88VOL 1.42M
RES: $70.62SUP: $52.98SMA50: $56.64SMA200: $54.47
$65.17$59.82$54.48$49.13$43.78RES $70.62SUP $52.98$60.882026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MTDR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-1.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +5.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MTDR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MTDR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MTDR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

MTDR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell MTDR stock right now?

Matador Resources Company (MTDR) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold — HOLD) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. Solid 94% profit margin (12% return on capital), mixed timing at 10x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is MTDR's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

MTDR's 12-month base price target is $62.52 (range $48.77 to $73.77), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.