MP Materials Corp. (MP) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$41.64 +1.41% NYSE • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

MP Materials Corp. (MP) receives a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) and flashes a Red SELL / AVOID warning (53/100 RQD Confidence). Our SEC filing scanner spotted paper earnings outpacing real operating cash flow (+88.7% (NI vs OCF)) while unpaid customer invoices grew—a classic sign to step aside until cash flow catches up.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $7.42B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510053
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D
Cash (5)Whales (10)SEC (8)Macro (13)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.3% Base Target
$81 Bull$41 Base$32 Bear
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:58% Call Buyers ($2.6M)
42% PutsMax Pain: $41.00
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your MP Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $41.64: 240.2 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $31.75
$7,625
$-2,375 (-23.8%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $40.70
$9,774
$-226 (-2.3%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $80.64
$19,366
+$9,366 (+93.7%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$4274%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$7669%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$3658%C
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ETHosted Live by Perry Belcher & Guest Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: How Pros Profit When Overhyped Stocks Crack (Featuring MP)

  • ✓Live walkthrough of MP's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge setups institutions use when 10-year yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes instant 24/7 email alert whenever any of your stocks flip to Red
RQD INSIDER CLUB UPGRADE$49/YEAR
Want Plain-English AI Custom Indicators, Daily Pro Trader Video Clips & SMS Crash Alerts?
MP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -40.08%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $39.26H $40.34L $38.49C $39.57VOL 5.31M
RES: $53.68SUP: $37.05SMA50: $47.95SMA200: $55.21
$79.58$68.07$56.56$45.05$33.54RES $53.68SUP $37.05$39.572026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
27.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +10.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MP today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

MP Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is MP's 12-month stock price target?

MP Materials Corp. (MP) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $40.7 (-2.3% from $41.64), with a bull-case target of $80.64 and a bear-case floor of $31.75.

Is MP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates MP D+ (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 53/100.