MP Materials Corp. (MP) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$41.64 +1.41% NYSE • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

MP Materials Corp. (MP) receives a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) and flashes a Red SELL / AVOID warning (53/100 RQD Confidence). Our SEC filing scanner spotted paper earnings outpacing real operating cash flow (+88.7% (NI vs OCF)) while unpaid customer invoices grew—a classic sign to step aside until cash flow catches up.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $7.42B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510053
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D
Cash (5)Whales (10)SEC (8)Macro (13)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.3% Base Target
$81 Bull$41 Base$32 Bear
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:58% Call Buyers ($2.6M)
42% PutsMax Pain: $41.00
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How MP Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$0 (0% FCF Margin)
Revenue$224.4MGross Profit $98.8M (44%)Cost of Sales $125.7MOp Profit $0 (0%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $98.8MNet Profit$0 (0%)Tax/Other $0

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow
FY23
Rev $253.4M
FY24
Rev $203.9M
FY25
Rev $224.4M
Fiscal YearRevenueGross MarginOp MarginNet ProfitFree Cash FlowROIC %
FY 2025$224.4M44%-66.6%-$85.9M-$328.1M-6.8%
FY 2024$203.9M44%-83.1%-$65.4M-$173.1M-8%
FY 2023$253.4M44%-7%$24.3M$51.3M-0.6%
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  • ✓Live walkthrough of MP's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside levels
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RQD INSIDER CLUB UPGRADE$49/YEAR
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MP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -40.08%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $39.26H $40.34L $38.49C $39.57VOL 5.31M
RES: $53.68SUP: $37.05SMA50: $47.95SMA200: $55.21
$79.58$68.07$56.56$45.05$33.54RES $53.68SUP $37.05$39.572026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
27.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +10.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MP today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

MP Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is MP Materials Corp. (MP)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), MP converted $224.4M of revenue into a 44% gross margin, 0% operating margin, and $0 in free cash flow (0% FCF margin).