Kratos Defense & Security Solutions Inc. (KTOS) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$43.59 +5.88% NASDAQ • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Kratos Defense & Security Solutions Inc. (KTOS) receives a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) and flashes a Red SELL / AVOID warning (60/100 RQD Confidence). Our SEC filing scanner spotted paper earnings outpacing real operating cash flow (+155.0% (NI vs OCF)) while unpaid customer invoices grew—a classic sign to step aside until cash flow catches up.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $8.18B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510060
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D
Cash (6)Whales (10)SEC (8)Macro (17)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.9% Base Target
$141 Bull$44 Base$34 Bear
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:60% Call Buyers ($2.7M)
40% PutsMax Pain: $43.00
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
45.930 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
11.11>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)
5 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE7% OF RANGE
L: $36$43.59H: $134
1. Money & Cash Health● RED FLAG
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Warning: Paper profits outpaced real cash collected while unpaid invoices rose—classic earnings quality red flag.

Factor Grade: ERQD 6 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 22 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Our SEC fine-print scanner flagged elevated accounting or executive-hedging risk combined with interest-rate headwinds.

Factor Grade: DRQD 32 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on KTOS

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (30)

1.4% ROIC with 22.9% gross margin and -1.26% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (36)

Flagged cash-conversion divergence or elevated filing risk disclosures.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (65)

Put/Call 0.66x with 22/40 institutional & insider flow.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like KTOS
  • ✓Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Headline earnings grew much faster than real operating cash flow—watch out for profit revisions.
  • !Priced at 185x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ETHosted Live by Perry Belcher & Guest Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: How Pros Profit When Overhyped Stocks Crack (Featuring KTOS)

  • ✓Live walkthrough of KTOS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge setups institutions use when 10-year yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes instant 24/7 email alert whenever any of your stocks flip to Red
RQD INSIDER CLUB UPGRADE$49/YEAR
Want Plain-English AI Custom Indicators, Daily Pro Trader Video Clips & SMS Crash Alerts?
KTOS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -34.83%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $42.67H $43.21L $40.28C $41.09VOL 3.41M
RES: $67.37SUP: $35.80SMA50: $45.16SMA200: $64.18
$84.01$71.10$58.18$45.27$32.36RES $67.37SUP $35.80$41.092026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

KTOS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +18.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on KTOS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for KTOS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for KTOS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

KTOS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell KTOS stock right now?

Kratos Defense & Security Solutions Inc. (KTOS) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D (Sell — SELL) with 60/100 RQD Confidence. Accounting Warning: Paper earnings outpaced operating cash flow (+155.0% (NI vs OCF)) as receivables rose.

What is KTOS's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

KTOS's 12-month base price target is $43.98 (range $34.3 to $140.7), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.