JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$343.58 +1.26% NYSE • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) receives a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) and flashes a Red SELL / AVOID warning (65/100 RQD Confidence). Our SEC filing scanner spotted paper earnings outpacing real operating cash flow (+117.6% (NI vs OCF)) while unpaid customer invoices grew—a classic sign to step aside until cash flow catches up.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $895.92B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510065
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
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5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk D
Cash (7)Whales (16)SEC (8)Macro (13)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+14.8% Base Target
$435 Bull$395 Base$335 Bear
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WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:82% Call Buyers ($2.1M)
18% PutsMax Pain: $330.00
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How JPM Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$0 (0% FCF Margin)
Revenue$182.45BGross Profit $94.87B (52%)Cost of Sales $87.57BOp Profit $72.59B (39.8%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $22.28BNet Profit$57.05B (31.3%)Tax/Other $15.55B

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow
FY21
Rev $121.65B
FY22
Rev $128.69B
FY23
Rev $158.10B
FY24
Rev $177.56B
FY25
Rev $182.45B
Fiscal YearRevenueGross MarginOp MarginNet ProfitFree Cash FlowROIC %
FY 2025$182.45B52%39.8%$57.05B-$147.78B15.7%
FY 2024$177.56B52%42.3%$58.47B-$42.01B17%
FY 2023$158.10B52%39%$49.55B$12.97B15.1%
FY 2022$128.69B52%35.9%$37.68B$107.12B12.9%
FY 2021$121.65B52%49%$48.33B$78.08B16.4%
FY 2020$119.95B52%29.9%$29.13B-$79.91B10.4%
SEC 10-K YEAR-OVER-YEAR FINE-PRINT DIFF SCANNERRisk Trajectory: ESCALATING

In accession 0001628280-26-008131, JPMorgan Chase broadens disclosures around capital adequacy requirements under finalized Basel III Endgame mandates and deposit pricing pressures impacting net interest income (NII). The firm explicitly conditions consumer credit quality against elevated interest rate persistence and highlights structural vulnerabilities tied to third-party cloud infrastructure resilience. The shift signals defensive posture positioning against multi-quarter margin normalization and elevated operational compliance overhead.

BASEL III ENDGAME & REGULATORY CAPITAL SURCHARGES (CRITICAL)

The regulatory risk has pivoted from speculative proposal monitoring to concrete capital-binding headwind. JPMorgan is signaling that higher required Tier 1 common equity ratios will compress return on tangible common equity (ROTCE) and force a contraction or deceleration in buyback velocity.

NET INTEREST MARGIN SENSITIVITY & DEPOSIT RE-PRICING (MEDIUM)

Asset repricing tailwinds have peaked while liability pricing catch-up is accelerating. Management is preparing the market for terminal NII margin compression as corporate and retail depositors continue migrating toward higher-yielding cash-substitute vehicles.

HYBRID CLOUD INFRASTRUCTURE & CRITICAL VENDOR OUTSOURCING (MEDIUM)

JPMorgan is acknowledging single-point-of-failure reliance on concentrated cloud hyperscalers (primarily AWS). This flags elevated operational fragility, regulatory scrutiny under operational resilience frameworks, and recurring technological capex obligations.

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JPM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +7.86%▲ ASCENDING TRIANGLE
2026-10-30O $334.0H $345.8L $333.2C $337.0VOL 29.87M
SUP: $329.8SMA50: $343.3SMA200: $323.0
$371.6$350.5$329.4$308.2$287.1SUP $329.8$337.02026-05-012026-06-122026-07-312026-09-112026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

JPM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
-3.39% YoY Shares

SEC XBRL FY2024 → FY2025: Net share cannibal / buyback tailwind.

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
5.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +13.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on JPM today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for JPM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

JPM Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), JPM converted $182.4B of revenue into a 52% gross margin, 39.8% operating margin, and $0 in free cash flow (0% FCF margin).