Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$281.40 +1.93% NYSE • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 72/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (53% profit margin, 23% return on capital) with steady institutional support. Even if the broader market gets choppy, the company’s underlying cash engine and big-money support put the odds in buyers’ favor.

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $79.97B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
025507510072
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk B+
Cash (18)Whales (10)SEC (16)Macro (16)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.3% Base Target
$353 Bull$299 Base$231 Bear
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:58% Call Buyers ($8.3M)
42% PutsMax Pain: $276.00
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your ITW Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $281.40: 35.5 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $230.75
$8,200
$-1,800 (-18.0%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $299.13
$10,630
+$630 (+6.3%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $352.97
$12,543
+$2,543 (+25.4%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (34 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 23● Hold: 9● Sell: 2
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskOUTPERFORM$31174%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadBUY$33269%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchHOLD$26558%C
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Today's Top 3 RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Setups (Live ITW Tape Review)

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ITW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +7.96%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $283.6H $285.8L $278.5C $278.6VOL 1.72M
RES: $304.1SUP: $252.9SMA50: $271.4SMA200: $270.6
$306.1$288.7$271.4$254.0$236.7RES $304.1SUP $252.9$278.62026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ITW Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
18.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +0.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ITW today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ITW. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ITW today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

ITW Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is ITW's 12-month stock price target?

Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $299.13 (+6.3% from $281.40), with a bull-case target of $352.97 and a bear-case floor of $230.75.

Is ITW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates ITW B (Buy — BUY) with an RQD Confidence score of 72/100.