Warrior Met Coal Inc. (HCC) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$85.62 +2.63% NYSE • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Warrior Met Coal Inc. (HCC) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 66/100 RQD Confidence. The underlying business is intact, so current owners don’t need to panic-sell—but mixed big-money flow or rich pricing means new buyers can afford to wait for either a pullback or a B-or-higher upgrade.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $4.52B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510066
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk B
Cash (14)Whales (10)SEC (16)Macro (14)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.6% Base Target
$117 Bull$89 Base$69 Bear
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:56% Call Buyers ($2.5M)
44% PutsMax Pain: $84.00
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How HCC Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$229.2M (5.7% FCF Margin)
Revenue$4.00BGross Profit $0 (0%)Cost of Sales $4.00BOp Profit $0 (0%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $0Net Profit$57.0M (1.4%)Tax/Other $0

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow
FY23
Rev $4.00B
FY24
Rev $4.00B
FY25
Rev $4.00B
Fiscal YearRevenueGross MarginOp MarginNet ProfitFree Cash FlowROIC %
FY 2025$4.00B0%1.1%$57.0M$229.2M1.8%
FY 2024$4.00B0%6.4%$250.6M$367.4M11.5%
FY 2023$4.00B0%13.5%$478.6M$701.1M28.5%
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ETHosted Live by Perry Belcher & Guest Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: How Pros Profit When Overhyped Stocks Crack (Featuring HCC)

  • ✓Live walkthrough of HCC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge setups institutions use when 10-year yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes instant 24/7 email alert whenever any of your stocks flip to Red
RQD INSIDER CLUB UPGRADE$49/YEAR
Want Plain-English AI Custom Indicators, Daily Pro Trader Video Clips & SMS Crash Alerts?
HCC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -4.32%▲ ASCENDING TRIANGLE
2026-10-30O $85.70H $86.09L $84.68C $85.97VOL 547.0K
RES: $112.1SUP: $82.46SMA50: $93.97SMA200: $90.09
$113.9$103.6$93.36$83.08$72.81RES $112.1SUP $82.46$85.972026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

HCC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +14.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HCC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HCC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for HCC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

HCC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is Warrior Met Coal Inc. (HCC)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), HCC converted $4.0B of revenue into a 0% gross margin, 0% operating margin, and $229.2M in free cash flow (5.7% FCF margin).