FTAI Aviation Ltd. (FTAI) Next Earnings Date & Options-Implied ±6.6% Move

$196.01 +17.27% NASDAQ • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

FTAI Aviation Ltd. (FTAI) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. The underlying business is intact, so current owners don’t need to panic-sell—but mixed big-money flow or rich pricing means new buyers can afford to wait for either a pullback or a B-or-higher upgrade.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $20.13B

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:72% Call Buyers ($3.3M)

28% PutsMax Pain: $192.00

NEXT EST. REPORT: Dec 30, 2026 (~59 DAYS)

Options-Implied Post-Earnings ±6.6% Bell Curve

±$12.94 Expected Swing

TRADER CROWD SENTIMENT POLL

Will FTAI Beat & Rip or Miss Next Quarter?

Trailing EPS: $2.99 • YoY Revenue Growth: 44.5%

53% Bullish Beat47% Bearish Miss

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$2.51B	$0	-$338.5M	46.2%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$1.73B	$0	-$197.2M	52.4%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$1.17B	$0	$76.3M	44%

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FTAI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -24.99%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT

2026-10-30O $189.0H $193.3L $183.2C $187.3VOL 2.32M

RES: $163.3SUP: $143.8SMA50: $179.0SMA200: $231.9

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FTAI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 FTAI Butterfly Map → + Track FTAI →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

44.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +44.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FTAI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FTAI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FTAI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →