Estee Lauder Companies Inc. (The) (EL) Whale Options Tug-of-War, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$108.81 -0.46% NYSE • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Estee Lauder Companies Inc. (The) (EL) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 62/100 RQD Confidence. The underlying business is intact, so current owners don’t need to panic-sell—but mixed big-money flow or rich pricing means new buyers can afford to wait for either a pullback or a B-or-higher upgrade.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $39.42B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510062
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B-
Cash (12)Whales (10)SEC (15)Macro (13)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.8% Base Target
$131 Bull$111 Base$86 Bear
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:52% Call Buyers ($3.7M)
48% PutsMax Pain: $107.00
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
52% Calls / 48% Puts
Put/Call Ratio: 0.92x
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
$107.00
-1.66% vs. current $108.81 spot
OPTIONS-IMPLIED VOLATILITY MOVE
±6.5%
Expected event band around $108.81

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (EL)

$100
5,862C / 12,587P
$105
5,862C / 12,587P
$110
13,709C / 12,587P
$115
13,709C / 5,440P
$120
13,709C / 5,440P
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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Trading EL & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

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EL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +42.39%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $108.9H $111.0L $105.4C $109.2VOL 8.86M
RES: $119.8SUP: $92.97SMA50: $100.4SMA200: $91.57
$113.9$103.4$92.91$82.44$71.97RES $119.8SUP $92.97$109.22026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

EL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
23.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -8.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on EL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for EL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for EL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

EL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is EL's options max pain and whale flow sentiment?

Unusual options sweeps in EL show 52% bullish call premium versus 48% put premium, centered near a $107 max-pain strike.