CF Industries Holdings Inc. (CF) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$118.09 -1.53% NYSE • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

CF Industries Holdings Inc. (CF) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The underlying business is intact, so current owners don’t need to panic-sell—but mixed big-money flow or rich pricing means new buyers can afford to wait for either a pullback or a B-or-higher upgrade.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $17.87B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510065
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C
Cash (17)Whales (10)SEC (13)Macro (13)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.2% Base Target
$149 Bull$122 Base$95 Bear
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:51% Call Buyers ($2.3M)
49% PutsMax Pain: $116.00
RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM
57.730 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.19>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
8 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE64% OF RANGE
L: $75$118.09H: $142
1. Money & Cash Health● HEALTHY
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Real cash coming in backs up reported profits (39% profit margin and healthy balance-sheet cushion).

Factor Grade: A-RQD 17 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 22 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: CRQD 26 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on CF

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BULLISH (85)

28.6% ROIC with 38.5% gross margin and 10.08% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 3.19 and Piotroski 8/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (58)

Put/Call 0.96x with 22/40 institutional & insider flow.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like CF
  • ✓Strong cash generator (39% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ETHosted Live by Perry Belcher & Guest Trading Systems Desk

Today's Top 3 RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Setups (Live CF Tape Review)

  • ✓Live breakdown of today’s highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts
  • ✓1 urgent Red-Light accounting trap to cut from your watchlist immediately
  • ✓Bring any ticker to live Q&A—we run it through the 5-Pillar RQD Radar on screen
RQD INSIDER CLUB UPGRADE$49/YEAR
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CF // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -0.72%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $118.6H $123.6L $118.4C $123.3VOL 1.66M
RES: $146.5SUP: $111.0SMA50: $123.4SMA200: $116.4
$145.0$131.2$117.4$103.6$89.81RES $146.5SUP $111.0$123.32026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CF Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-1.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +19.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CF today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CF. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CF today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

CF Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell CF stock right now?

CF Industries Holdings Inc. (CF) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C (Hold — HOLD) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. Solid 39% profit margin (29% return on capital), mixed timing at 10x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is CF's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

CF's 12-month base price target is $121.81 (range $95.01 to $149.06), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.