Alibaba Group Holding Limited American (BABA) Whale Options Tug-of-War, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$99.54 -1.41% NYSE • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Alibaba Group Holding Limited American (BABA) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 62/100 RQD Confidence. The underlying business is intact, so current owners don’t need to panic-sell—but mixed big-money flow or rich pricing means new buyers can afford to wait for either a pullback or a B-or-higher upgrade.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $241.13B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510062
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk B+
Cash (8)Whales (10)SEC (16)Macro (16)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.8% Base Target
$190 Bull$101 Base$79 Bear
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WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:50% Call Buyers ($21.8M)
50% PutsMax Pain: $98.00
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
50% Calls / 50% Puts
Put/Call Ratio: 0.99x
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
$98.00
-1.55% vs. current $99.54 spot
OPTIONS-IMPLIED VOLATILITY MOVE
±6.8%
Expected event band around $99.54

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (BABA)

$90
5,636C / 13,111P
$95
5,636C / 13,111P
$100
13,182C / 13,111P
$105
13,182C / 5,667P
$110
13,182C / 5,667P
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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Trading BABA & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Exact institutional whale strikes & implied earnings range on BABA this week
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BABA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -25.66%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-10-30O $98.73H $99.23L $97.48C $98.04VOL 8.36M
RES: $118.7SUP: $107.6SMA50: $109.7SMA200: $126.2
$153.8$137.0$120.3$103.5$86.79RES $118.7SUP $107.6$98.042026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BABA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +8.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BABA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BABA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BABA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

BABA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is BABA's options max pain and whale flow sentiment?

Unusual options sweeps in BABA show 50% bullish call premium versus 50% put premium, centered near a $98 max-pain strike.