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Alibaba Group Holding Limited American (BABA) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$99.54 -1.41% NYSE • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Alibaba Group Holding Limited American (BABA) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 62/100 RQD Confidence. The underlying business is intact, so current owners don’t need to panic-sell—but mixed big-money flow or rich pricing means new buyers can afford to wait for either a pullback or a B-or-higher upgrade.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $241.13B

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk B+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:50% Call Buyers ($21.8M)

50% PutsMax Pain: $98.00

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your BABA Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $99.54: 100.5 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $79.04

$7,941

$-2,059 (-20.6%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $101.33

$10,180

+$180 (+1.8%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $190.16

$19,104

+$9,104 (+91.0%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$105	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	BUY	$179	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	HOLD	$90	58%	C

🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ETHosted Live by Perry Belcher & Guest Trading Systems Desk

Today's Top 3 RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Setups (Live BABA Tape Review)

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BABA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -25.66%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN

2026-10-30O $98.73H $99.23L $97.48C $98.04VOL 8.36M

RES: $118.7SUP: $107.6SMA50: $109.7SMA200: $126.2

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BABA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 BABA Butterfly Map → + Track BABA →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +8.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BABA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BABA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BABA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

BABA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is BABA's 12-month stock price target?

Alibaba Group Holding Limited American (BABA) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $101.33 (+1.8% from $99.54), with a bull-case target of $190.16 and a bear-case floor of $79.04.

Is BABA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates BABA C (Hold — HOLD) with an RQD Confidence score of 62/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: BABA RQD Cockpit BABA 12M Forecast BABA Earnings & Move BABA Dividends & DRIP BABA Insiders & 13F BABA Whale Options BABA Profit Sankey BABA News & Why