Aurora Innovation Inc. (AUR) Whale Options Tug-of-War, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$4.41 -13.46% NASDAQ • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Aurora Innovation Inc. (AUR) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 60/100 RQD Confidence. The underlying business is intact, so current owners don’t need to panic-sell—but mixed big-money flow or rich pricing means new buyers can afford to wait for either a pullback or a B-or-higher upgrade.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $8.90B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
025507510060
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk B
Cash (9)Whales (9)SEC (16)Macro (14)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.9% Base Target
$9 Bull$4 Base$3 Bear
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:44% Call Buyers ($2.0M)
56% PutsMax Pain: $4.00
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
44% Calls / 56% Puts
Put/Call Ratio: 1.27x
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
$4.00
-9.3% vs. current $4.41 spot
OPTIONS-IMPLIED VOLATILITY MOVE
±7.6%
Expected event band around $4.41

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (AUR)

$0
4,960C / 14,684P
$2.5
4,960C / 14,684P
$5
11,600C / 14,684P
$7.5
11,600C / 6,347P
$10
11,600C / 6,347P
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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Trading AUR & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Exact institutional whale strikes & implied earnings range on AUR this week
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AUR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -25.85%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-10-30O $4.34H $4.36L $4.13C $4.36VOL 34.54M
RES: $6.22SUP: $4.94SMA50: $5.69SMA200: $5.63
$8.87$7.59$6.30$5.02$3.73RES $6.22SUP $4.94$4.362026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AUR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
21.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +18.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AUR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AUR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AUR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

AUR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is AUR's options max pain and whale flow sentiment?

Unusual options sweeps in AUR show 44% bullish call premium versus 56% put premium, centered near a $4 max-pain strike.