Aurora Innovation Inc. (AUR) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$4.41 -13.46% NASDAQ • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Aurora Innovation Inc. (AUR) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 60/100 RQD Confidence. The underlying business is intact, so current owners don’t need to panic-sell—but mixed big-money flow or rich pricing means new buyers can afford to wait for either a pullback or a B-or-higher upgrade.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $8.90B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
025507510060
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk B
Cash (9)Whales (9)SEC (16)Macro (14)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.9% Base Target
$9 Bull$4 Base$3 Bear
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:44% Call Buyers ($2.0M)
56% PutsMax Pain: $4.00
RSI-14 MOMENTUMOVERSOLD (<32)
30.630 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
22.56>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
4 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE16% OF RANGE
L: $4$4.41H: $9
1. Money & Cash Health● RED FLAG
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: DRQD 9 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● SELLING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 21 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● ALL CLEAR
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Clean SEC fine-print check with low hidden accounting risk and favorable interest-rate weather.

Factor Grade: BRQD 30 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on AUR

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (45)

-35.0% ROIC with -30.0% gross margin and -6.88% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BULLISH (80)

Altman-Z 22.56 and Piotroski 4/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (58)

Put/Call 1.27x with 21/40 institutional & insider flow.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like AUR
  • ✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
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Today's Top 3 RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Setups (Live AUR Tape Review)

  • ✓Live breakdown of today’s highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts
  • ✓1 urgent Red-Light accounting trap to cut from your watchlist immediately
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RQD INSIDER CLUB UPGRADE$49/YEAR
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AUR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -25.85%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-10-30O $4.34H $4.36L $4.13C $4.36VOL 34.54M
RES: $6.22SUP: $4.94SMA50: $5.69SMA200: $5.63
$8.87$7.59$6.30$5.02$3.73RES $6.22SUP $4.94$4.362026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AUR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
21.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +18.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AUR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AUR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AUR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

AUR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell AUR stock right now?

Aurora Innovation Inc. (AUR) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold — HOLD) with 60/100 RQD Confidence. Solid -30% profit margin (-35% return on capital), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is AUR's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

AUR's 12-month base price target is $4.45 (range $3.47 to $9), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.